Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
83 Montana 100.0%   14   24 - 7 16 - 2 24 - 7 16 - 2 +6.5      +3.2 83 +3.2 83 68.8 185 +6.7 81 +9.1 1
117 Northern Colorado 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 7 19 - 12 11 - 7 +3.4      +1.7 117 +1.7 117 75.6 43 +2.0 138 +0.8 5
140 Eastern Washington 0.0%   18 - 14 13 - 5 18 - 14 13 - 5 +1.4      +0.7 140 +0.7 140 65.6 264 +1.5 144 +3.1 3
141 Idaho 0.0%   20 - 9 14 - 4 20 - 9 14 - 4 +1.4      +0.7 141 +0.7 141 64.4 296 +2.4 128 +5.0 2
167 Weber St. 0.0%   17 - 11 13 - 5 17 - 11 13 - 5 +0.2      +0.1 167 +0.1 167 68.0 208 +0.9 157 +2.6 4
171 Portland St. 0.0%   17 - 13 9 - 9 17 - 13 9 - 9 -0.4      -0.2 171 -0.2 171 83.3 7 +1.1 154 -2.2 6
240 Idaho St. 0.0%   12 - 16 9 - 9 12 - 16 9 - 9 -4.6      -2.3 240 -2.3 240 69.3 171 -4.8 244 -3.0 7
247 North Dakota 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 12 10 - 20 6 - 12 -5.1      -2.6 247 -2.6 247 76.5 35 -4.3 239 -5.7 8
267 Southern Utah 0.0%   11 - 19 5 - 13 11 - 19 5 - 13 -6.2      -3.1 267 -3.1 267 76.2 39 -4.4 240 -8.4 10
274 Montana St. 0.0%   11 - 19 6 - 12 11 - 19 6 - 12 -6.6      -3.3 274 -3.3 274 72.0 99 -5.9 259 -7.2 9
290 Sacramento St. 0.0%   5 - 25 4 - 14 5 - 25 4 - 14 -7.7      -3.9 290 -3.9 290 64.5 294 -10.7 321 -9.1 11
330 Northern Arizona 0.0%   4 - 26 2 - 16 4 - 26 2 - 16 -11.8      -5.9 330 -5.9 330 70.8 127 -11.9 329 -14.3 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Montana 1.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 5.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 3.0 100.0
Idaho 2.0 100.0
Weber St. 3.0 100.0
Portland St. 6.0 100.0
Idaho St. 6.0 100.0
North Dakota 8.0 100.0
Southern Utah 10.0 100.0
Montana St. 8.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 11.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Montana 16 - 2 100.0
Northern Colorado 11 - 7 100.0
Eastern Washington 13 - 5 100.0
Idaho 14 - 4 100.0
Weber St. 13 - 5 100.0
Portland St. 9 - 9 100.0
Idaho St. 9 - 9 100.0
North Dakota 6 - 12 100.0
Southern Utah 5 - 13 100.0
Montana St. 6 - 12 100.0
Sacramento St. 4 - 14 100.0
Northern Arizona 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana 100.0% 100.0
Northern Colorado
Eastern Washington
Idaho
Weber St.
Portland St.
Idaho St.
North Dakota
Southern Utah
Montana St.
Sacramento St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.4 21.7 70.7 7.2
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 18.1% 5.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 18.1% 0.2 81.9 18.1
Sweet Sixteen 5.6% 0.1 94.4 5.6
Elite Eight 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0