Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
168 Winthrop 0.0%   16 - 12 12 - 6 16 - 12 12 - 6 +0.2      +0.1 168 +0.1 168 77.0 29 -1.7 194 -1.2 3
179 Radford 100.0%   16   20 - 12 12 - 6 20 - 12 12 - 6 -0.9      -0.5 179 -0.5 179 59.6 347 +0.4 162 -1.0 2
183 Liberty 0.0%   17 - 14 9 - 9 17 - 14 9 - 9 -1.2      -0.6 183 -0.6 183 60.0 344 -2.7 207 -5.4 8
194 UNC Asheville 0.0%   19 - 12 13 - 5 19 - 12 13 - 5 -2.1      -1.0 194 -1.0 194 71.6 109 +0.7 159 +0.7 1
235 Campbell 0.0%   13 - 15 10 - 8 13 - 15 10 - 8 -4.2      -2.1 235 -2.1 235 68.2 200 -5.9 258 -3.6 4
246 High Point 0.0%   11 - 16 9 - 9 11 - 16 9 - 9 -5.0      -2.5 246 -2.5 246 64.6 289 -6.7 275 -4.9 7
248 Charleston Southern 0.0%   12 - 16 9 - 9 12 - 16 9 - 9 -5.2      -2.6 248 -2.6 248 65.2 274 -6.6 270 -4.9 6
264 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   11 - 18 9 - 9 11 - 18 9 - 9 -6.2      -3.1 264 -3.1 264 68.2 202 -5.9 257 -4.7 5
331 Presbyterian 0.0%   8 - 21 4 - 14 8 - 21 4 - 14 -12.0      -6.0 331 -6.0 331 60.4 342 -10.6 320 -11.9 9
339 Longwood 0.0%   4 - 26 3 - 15 4 - 26 3 - 15 -14.1      -7.0 339 -7.0 339 71.2 116 -14.3 336 -13.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Winthrop 2.0 100.0
Radford 2.0 100.0
Liberty 5.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 1.0 100.0
Campbell 4.0 100.0
High Point 5.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 5.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 5.0 100.0
Presbyterian 9.0 100.0
Longwood 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Winthrop 12 - 6 100.0
Radford 12 - 6 100.0
Liberty 9 - 9 100.0
UNC Asheville 13 - 5 100.0
Campbell 10 - 8 100.0
High Point 9 - 9 100.0
Charleston Southern 9 - 9 100.0
Gardner-Webb 9 - 9 100.0
Presbyterian 4 - 14 100.0
Longwood 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Winthrop
Radford
Liberty
UNC Asheville 100.0% 100.0
Campbell
High Point
Charleston Southern
Gardner-Webb
Presbyterian
Longwood


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 2.5 97.5
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 100.0% 57.7% 83.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 83.4% 0.8 16.6 83.4
2nd Round 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0