Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
128 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   21 - 9 11 - 5 21 - 9 11 - 5 +2.1      +1.1 128 +1.1 128 66.3 243 +3.3 118 +1.3 3
148 UC Davis 0.0%   20 - 10 12 - 4 20 - 10 12 - 4 +1.0      +0.5 148 +0.5 148 65.6 262 +3.4 115 +3.4 1
154 UC Irvine 0.0%   16 - 17 11 - 5 16 - 17 11 - 5 +0.9      +0.5 154 +0.5 154 66.9 233 +0.2 165 +1.5 2
165 Cal St. Fullerton 99.7%   16   18 - 11 10 - 6 18 - 11 10 - 6 +0.3      +0.1 165 +0.1 165 71.9 102 +2.3 134 -0.1 4
201 Long Beach St. 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 7 13 - 18 9 - 7 -2.4      -1.2 201 -1.2 201 77.0 30 -1.4 189 -1.4 5
202 Hawaii 0.0%   15 - 13 8 - 8 15 - 13 8 - 8 -2.4      -1.2 202 -1.2 202 68.2 199 -1.4 191 -3.1 6
275 UC Riverside 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 12 7 - 22 4 - 12 -6.7      -3.3 275 -3.3 275 69.8 163 -8.3 294 -9.7 8
321 Cal Poly 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 12 7 - 22 4 - 12 -10.1      -5.1 321 -5.1 321 65.3 272 -8.0 290 -9.0 7
327 Cal St. Northridge 0.3%   4 - 24 3 - 13 4 - 24 3 - 13 -11.1      -5.5 327 -5.5 327 64.6 288 -13.5 333 -11.1 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
UC Santa Barbara 2.0 100.0
UC Davis 1.0 100.0
UC Irvine 2.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 4.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 5.0 100.0
Hawaii 6.0 100.0
UC Riverside 7.0 100.0
Cal Poly 7.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
UC Santa Barbara 11 - 5 100.0
UC Davis 12 - 4 100.0
UC Irvine 11 - 5 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 10 - 6 100.0
Long Beach St. 9 - 7 100.0
Hawaii 8 - 8 100.0
UC Riverside 4 - 12 100.0
Cal Poly 4 - 12 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Santa Barbara
UC Davis 100.0% 100.0
UC Irvine
Cal St. Fullerton
Long Beach St.
Hawaii
UC Riverside
Cal Poly
Cal St. Northridge


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 99.7% 99.7% 0.0% 16   1.5 27.9 70.3 0.3 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 99.7% 7.4% 97.5% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 97.6% 1.0 2.4 97.6
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0