Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
102 Northeastern 0.0%   22 - 10 14 - 4 22 - 10 14 - 4 +4.9      +2.4 102 +2.4 102 66.6 238 +4.9 101 +5.5 2
114 College of Charleston 100.0%   13   24 - 7 14 - 4 24 - 7 14 - 4 +3.7      +1.8 114 +1.8 114 62.6 325 +6.0 87 +5.7 1
149 Hofstra 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 6 18 - 12 12 - 6 +1.0      +0.5 149 +0.5 149 70.5 139 +2.0 137 +2.8 3
159 William & Mary 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 7 17 - 12 11 - 7 +0.6      +0.3 159 +0.3 159 72.5 88 +2.2 136 +1.3 4
163 Towson 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 10 16 - 14 8 - 10 +0.4      +0.2 163 +0.2 163 68.2 201 -0.4 172 -2.8 5
226 James Madison 0.0%   9 - 22 6 - 12 9 - 22 6 - 12 -3.8      -1.9 226 -1.9 226 68.8 186 -6.5 269 -5.1 10
236 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 11 9 - 21 7 - 11 -4.4      -2.2 236 -2.2 236 77.4 24 -5.3 248 -3.6 6
241 Delaware 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -4.7      -2.3 241 -2.3 241 64.6 290 -4.1 232 -5.0 9
242 Elon 0.0%   12 - 18 6 - 12 12 - 18 6 - 12 -4.8      -2.4 242 -2.4 242 67.5 213 -2.9 213 -5.0 8
243 Drexel 0.0%   12 - 20 6 - 12 12 - 20 6 - 12 -4.8      -2.4 243 -2.4 243 70.7 128 -4.2 234 -5.0 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Northeastern 1.0 100.0
College of Charleston 1.0 100.0
Hofstra 3.0 100.0
William & Mary 4.0 100.0
Towson 5.0 100.0
James Madison 7.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 6.0 100.0
Delaware 7.0 100.0
Elon 7.0 100.0
Drexel 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Northeastern 14 - 4 100.0
College of Charleston 14 - 4 100.0
Hofstra 12 - 6 100.0
William & Mary 11 - 7 100.0
Towson 8 - 10 100.0
James Madison 6 - 12 100.0
UNC Wilmington 7 - 11 100.0
Delaware 6 - 12 100.0
Elon 6 - 12 100.0
Drexel 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Northeastern 100.0% 100.0
College of Charleston 100.0% 100.0
Hofstra
William & Mary
Towson
James Madison
UNC Wilmington
Delaware
Elon
Drexel


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
College of Charleston 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 5.2 75.7 19.1 0.0
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 12.1% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 12.1% 0.1 87.9 12.1
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0