Pre-tourney Rankings
Horizon
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
106 Northern Kentucky 0.0%   20 - 9 15 - 3 20 - 9 15 - 3 +4.5      +2.3 106 +2.3 106 69.5 169 +2.4 129 +4.6 1
137 Wright St. 100.0%   14   23 - 9 14 - 4 23 - 9 14 - 4 +1.6      +0.8 137 +0.8 137 68.9 182 +3.6 113 +3.0 2
175 Oakland 0.0%   19 - 14 10 - 8 19 - 14 10 - 8 -0.8      -0.4 175 -0.4 175 74.2 57 -0.9 182 -3.3 4
199 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   15 - 15 12 - 6 15 - 15 12 - 6 -2.3      -1.2 199 -1.2 199 76.8 32 -3.2 216 0.0 3
208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 10 15 - 16 8 - 10 -2.8      -1.4 208 -1.4 208 64.6 291 -3.6 224 -6.0 6
266 Green Bay 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 10 - 20 7 - 11 -6.2      -3.1 266 -3.1 266 77.4 25 -8.2 292 -7.1 7
284 IUPUI 0.0%   9 - 19 8 - 10 9 - 19 8 - 10 -7.3      -3.7 284 -3.7 284 65.3 270 -7.7 285 -5.4 5
300 Cleveland St. 0.0%   11 - 23 6 - 12 11 - 23 6 - 12 -8.2      -4.1 300 -4.1 300 66.7 236 -7.8 286 -8.3 9
322 Detroit Mercy 0.0%   6 - 24 4 - 14 6 - 24 4 - 14 -10.2      -5.1 322 -5.1 322 78.7 19 -10.9 323 -11.5 10
326 Youngstown St. 0.0%   6 - 24 6 - 12 6 - 24 6 - 12 -10.7      -5.3 326 -5.3 326 75.3 47 -10.7 322 -8.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Northern Kentucky 1.0 100.0
Wright St. 2.0 100.0
Oakland 4.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 3.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.0 100.0
Green Bay 7.0 100.0
IUPUI 5.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 8.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 10.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Northern Kentucky 15 - 3 100.0
Wright St. 14 - 4 100.0
Oakland 10 - 8 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 12 - 6 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 10 100.0
Green Bay 7 - 11 100.0
IUPUI 8 - 10 100.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 12 100.0
Detroit Mercy 4 - 14 100.0
Youngstown St. 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Northern Kentucky 100.0% 100.0
Wright St.
Oakland
Illinois-Chicago
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Green Bay
IUPUI
Cleveland St.
Detroit Mercy
Youngstown St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   4.1 61.2 34.2 0.6
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Northern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 6.7% 0.1 93.3 6.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0