Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
126 Canisius 0.0%   21 - 11 15 - 3 21 - 11 15 - 3 +2.3      +1.2 126 +1.2 126 70.2 151 +1.4 147 +6.4 2
132 Iona 100.0%   16   20 - 13 11 - 7 20 - 13 11 - 7 +2.0      +1.0 132 +1.0 132 74.2 58 +1.3 149 -0.1 4
136 Rider 0.0%   22 - 9 15 - 3 22 - 9 15 - 3 +1.7      +0.9 136 +0.9 136 80.6 11 +4.2 106 +6.8 1
180 Monmouth 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 11 11 - 20 7 - 11 -1.0      -0.5 180 -0.5 180 72.8 82 -3.8 227 -4.9 7
197 Niagara 0.0%   19 - 13 12 - 6 19 - 13 12 - 6 -2.2      -1.1 197 -1.1 197 80.1 14 +0.1 167 +1.4 3
206 Fairfield 0.0%   17 - 16 9 - 9 17 - 16 9 - 9 -2.7      -1.4 206 -1.4 206 74.2 59 -2.1 201 -3.2 6
211 Manhattan 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 9 14 - 17 9 - 9 -2.9      -1.5 211 -1.5 211 64.5 292 -3.6 223 -2.7 5
215 St. Peter's 0.0%   14 - 18 6 - 12 14 - 18 6 - 12 -3.1      -1.6 215 -1.6 215 59.6 346 -4.1 233 -7.0 9
273 Quinnipiac 0.0%   12 - 21 7 - 11 12 - 21 7 - 11 -6.6      -3.3 273 -3.3 273 65.8 257 -5.8 255 -5.2 8
296 Siena 0.0%   8 - 24 4 - 14 8 - 24 4 - 14 -8.0      -4.0 296 -4.0 296 65.2 276 -8.7 299 -10.1 11
317 Marist 0.0%   6 - 25 4 - 14 6 - 25 4 - 14 -9.6      -4.8 317 -4.8 317 71.9 104 -11.2 326 -9.9 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Canisius 1.0 100.0
Iona 4.0 100.0
Rider 1.0 100.0
Monmouth 7.0 100.0
Niagara 3.0 100.0
Fairfield 5.0 100.0
Manhattan 5.0 100.0
St. Peter's 9.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 7.0 100.0
Siena 10.0 100.0
Marist 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Canisius 15 - 3 100.0
Iona 11 - 7 100.0
Rider 15 - 3 100.0
Monmouth 7 - 11 100.0
Niagara 12 - 6 100.0
Fairfield 9 - 9 100.0
Manhattan 9 - 9 100.0
St. Peter's 6 - 12 100.0
Quinnipiac 7 - 11 100.0
Siena 4 - 14 100.0
Marist 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Canisius 100.0% 100.0
Iona
Rider 100.0% 100.0
Monmouth
Niagara
Fairfield
Manhattan
St. Peter's
Quinnipiac
Siena
Marist


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.1 7.0 52.2 40.7
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 100.0% 1.6% 99.6% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.6% 1.0 0.4 99.6
2nd Round 5.9% 0.1 94.1 5.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0