Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
88 UNC Greensboro 100.0%   13   24 - 7 15 - 3 24 - 7 15 - 3 +5.9      +2.9 88 +2.9 88 62.6 324 +6.7 80 +7.5 1
95 Furman 0.0%   21 - 10 13 - 5 21 - 10 13 - 5 +5.2      +2.6 95 +2.6 95 69.8 159 +3.5 114 +3.2 3
99 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   23 - 9 14 - 4 23 - 9 14 - 4 +5.0      +2.5 99 +2.5 99 67.9 211 +5.0 100 +5.3 2
146 Wofford 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 18 - 12 11 - 7 +1.1      +0.6 146 +0.6 146 64.8 283 +2.0 139 +0.2 5
150 Mercer 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 7 16 - 14 11 - 7 +1.0      +0.5 150 +0.5 150 60.8 341 -0.6 178 +0.2 4
287 Samford 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 12 8 - 22 6 - 12 -7.5      -3.8 287 -3.8 287 74.7 52 -9.4 303 -7.3 7
292 Western Carolina 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 10 11 - 19 8 - 10 -7.8      -3.9 292 -3.9 292 72.7 83 -4.3 237 -3.7 6
297 Chattanooga 0.0%   8 - 23 3 - 15 8 - 23 3 - 15 -8.1      -4.1 297 -4.1 297 64.0 309 -9.7 308 -13.5 10
318 The Citadel 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -9.6      -4.8 318 -4.8 318 92.1 2 -8.7 298 -8.8 8
333 VMI 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 14 7 - 21 4 - 14 -12.1      -6.0 333 -6.0 333 70.6 135 -10.2 316 -10.4 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
UNC Greensboro 1.0 100.0
Furman 3.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 2.0 100.0
Wofford 4.0 100.0
Mercer 4.0 100.0
Samford 7.0 100.0
Western Carolina 6.0 100.0
Chattanooga 10.0 100.0
The Citadel 8.0 100.0
VMI 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Greensboro 15 - 3 100.0
Furman 13 - 5 100.0
East Tennessee St. 14 - 4 100.0
Wofford 11 - 7 100.0
Mercer 11 - 7 100.0
Samford 6 - 12 100.0
Western Carolina 8 - 10 100.0
Chattanooga 3 - 15 100.0
The Citadel 5 - 13 100.0
VMI 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UNC Greensboro 100.0% 100.0
Furman
East Tennessee St.
Wofford
Mercer
Samford
Western Carolina
Chattanooga
The Citadel
VMI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UNC Greensboro 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.2 13.7 77.4 8.7 0.0
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UNC Greensboro 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 17.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 17.9% 0.2 82.1 17.9
Sweet Sixteen 4.2% 0.0 95.8 4.2
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0