Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
60 New Mexico St. 100.0%   12   25 - 5 12 - 2 25 - 5 12 - 2 +8.9      +4.4 60 +4.4 60 69.1 178 +10.7 48 +8.2 1
103 Utah Valley 0.0%   19 - 10 10 - 4 19 - 10 10 - 4 +4.7      +2.4 103 +2.4 103 68.6 190 +3.2 122 +3.3 2
116 Grand Canyon 0.0%   21 - 11 9 - 5 21 - 11 9 - 5 +3.5      +1.7 116 +1.7 116 70.2 150 +1.3 151 +1.1 3
190 Seattle 0.0%   17 - 13 8 - 6 17 - 13 8 - 6 -2.0      -1.0 190 -1.0 190 67.4 216 -0.5 174 -0.1 4
234 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   9 - 18 5 - 9 9 - 18 5 - 9 -4.2      -2.1 234 -2.1 234 64.1 304 -4.8 245 -6.7 7
276 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   13 - 17 6 - 8 13 - 17 6 - 8 -6.7      -3.3 276 -3.3 276 82.1 8 -3.7 225 -3.8 5
289 UMKC 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 9 8 - 21 5 - 9 -7.6      -3.8 289 -3.8 289 72.2 94 -7.1 281 -6.0 6
346 Chicago St. 0.0%   1 - 29 1 - 13 1 - 29 1 - 13 -16.9      -8.5 346 -8.5 346 77.5 22 -20.1 348 -16.8 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
New Mexico St. 1.0 100.0
Utah Valley 2.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 3.0 100.0
Seattle 4.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 6.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 5.0 100.0
UMKC 6.0 100.0
Chicago St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
New Mexico St. 12 - 2 100.0
Utah Valley 10 - 4 100.0
Grand Canyon 9 - 5 100.0
Seattle 8 - 6 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 5 - 9 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 6 - 8 100.0
UMKC 5 - 9 100.0
Chicago St. 1 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0
Utah Valley
Grand Canyon
Seattle
Cal St. Bakersfield
UT Rio Grande Valley
UMKC
Chicago St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.2 21.7 68.4 9.7 0.0
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 29.0% 9.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 29.0% 0.3 71.0 29.0
Sweet Sixteen 9.3% 0.1 90.7 9.3
Elite Eight 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Final Four 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0