Pre-tourney Rankings
Abilene Christian
Southland
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#268
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#264
Pace69.3#172
Improvement-0.4#204

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#268
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.6#293

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#268
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.2#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.8% n/a n/a
First Round1.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2017 280   @ Arkansas St. L 69-83 41%     0 - 1 -18.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Nov 20, 2017 169   Lipscomb L 67-75 37%     0 - 2 -10.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2017 235   @ Campbell W 85-80 OT 31%     1 - 2 +3.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Nov 25, 2017 337   South Carolina Upstate L 78-88 76%     1 - 3 -23.8 -6.9 -6.9
  Nov 26, 2017 238   Bowling Green W 88-83 43%     2 - 3 +0.5 -2.2 -2.2
  Dec 06, 2017 223   @ Air Force W 62-58 29%     3 - 3 +3.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Dec 09, 2017 228   Texas St. W 72-68 52%     4 - 3 -2.9 -3.4 -3.4
  Dec 17, 2017 169   @ Lipscomb L 65-67 19%     4 - 4 +1.1 +1.5 +1.5
  Dec 22, 2017 12   @ Texas Tech L 47-74 2%     4 - 5 -8.7 +9.1 +9.1
  Dec 28, 2017 265   @ New Orleans L 74-77 38%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -6.2 -1.6 -1.6
  Dec 30, 2017 219   Sam Houston St. W 75-72 50%     5 - 6 1 - 1 -3.3 -3.2 -3.2
  Jan 03, 2018 304   McNeese St. W 79-74 70%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -6.6 -5.8 -5.8
  Jan 06, 2018 187   SE Louisiana L 70-72 44%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -6.6 -2.3 -2.3
  Jan 10, 2018 334   @ Houston Baptist W 82-74 65%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -2.3 -5.2 -5.2
  Jan 13, 2018 344   @ Northwestern St. W 69-58 72%     8 - 7 4 - 2 -1.4 -6.2 -6.2
  Jan 17, 2018 113   Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 24%     8 - 8 4 - 3 -9.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 20, 2018 214   @ Central Arkansas W 80-63 28%     9 - 8 5 - 3 +16.9 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 24, 2018 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-80 48%     9 - 9 5 - 4 -19.8 -2.9 -2.9
  Jan 31, 2018 216   Lamar W 74-69 50%     10 - 9 6 - 4 -1.2 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 03, 2018 219   @ Sam Houston St. L 77-84 28%     10 - 10 6 - 5 -7.3 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 07, 2018 189   Nicholls St. L 65-69 44%     10 - 11 6 - 6 -8.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Feb 10, 2018 341   Incarnate Word W 80-69 86%     11 - 11 7 - 6 -6.9 -9.0 -9.0
  Feb 17, 2018 187   @ SE Louisiana L 54-68 23%     11 - 12 7 - 7 -12.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 22, 2018 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-76 71%     11 - 13 7 - 8 -20.9 -5.9 -5.9
  Feb 24, 2018 214   Central Arkansas L 72-74 49%     11 - 14 7 - 9 -8.1 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 28, 2018 113   @ Stephen F. Austin L 56-76 11%     11 - 15 7 - 10 -13.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Mar 03, 2018 341   @ Incarnate Word W 69-59 71%     12 - 15 8 - 10 -1.9 -5.9 -5.9
Projected Record 12.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 1.9 98.1
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 1.9 98.1 0.0%