Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#323
Expected Predictive Rating-13.1#331
Pace65.8#256
Improvement+0.4#170

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#323
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.8#137

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#323
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.4#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 41   @ Kansas St. L 45-83 2%     0 - 1 -24.3 +6.9 +6.9
  Nov 15, 2017 11   @ West Virginia L 64-98 1%     0 - 2 -15.0 +9.5 +9.5
  Nov 18, 2017 185   @ Wagner L 70-71 13%     0 - 3 +0.7 +0.8 +0.8
  Nov 21, 2017 277   @ New Hampshire W 74-70 27%     1 - 3 +0.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Nov 25, 2017 333   VMI W 69-64 68%     2 - 3 -10.1 -7.6 -7.6
  Nov 29, 2017 212   @ St. Francis (PA) L 89-100 17%     2 - 4 -11.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Dec 02, 2017 349   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 70-74 67%     2 - 5 -19.0 -7.5 -7.5
  Dec 06, 2017 302   @ Western Illinois L 56-69 32%     2 - 6 -18.3 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 09, 2017 335   Howard W 74-63 73%     3 - 6 -5.6 -8.3 -8.3
  Dec 18, 2017 237   Mount St. Mary's L 56-59 39%     3 - 7 -10.5 -3.7 -3.7
  Dec 21, 2017 49   @ Marquette L 51-92 3%     3 - 8 -28.2 +6.4 +6.4
  Dec 29, 2017 93   @ Bucknell L 55-84 5%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -20.5 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 02, 2018 198   Colgate L 63-72 31%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -14.3 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 05, 2018 221   @ Navy L 64-70 18%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -6.6 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 08, 2018 256   Army L 54-58 44%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -12.9 -4.4 -4.4
  Jan 11, 2018 312   Loyola Maryland W 76-65 57%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -1.2 -6.1 -6.1
  Jan 14, 2018 220   @ Lehigh L 66-76 18%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -10.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 17, 2018 244   @ Boston University W 69-58 21%     5 - 13 2 - 5 +9.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 20, 2018 272   Lafayette L 53-62 47%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -18.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Jan 22, 2018 270   Holy Cross L 57-60 46%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -12.4 -4.7 -4.7
  Jan 27, 2018 198   @ Colgate L 69-83 15%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -13.3 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 31, 2018 221   Navy L 44-61 36%     5 - 17 2 - 9 -23.6 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 03, 2018 256   @ Army L 70-82 24%     5 - 18 2 - 10 -14.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 07, 2018 312   @ Loyola Maryland L 69-72 34%     5 - 19 2 - 11 -9.2 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 10, 2018 220   Lehigh L 78-80 OT 36%     5 - 20 2 - 12 -8.5 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 14, 2018 244   Boston University W 60-56 41%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -3.9 -4.0 -4.0
  Feb 17, 2018 272   @ Lafayette L 85-90 26%     6 - 21 3 - 13 -8.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 21, 2018 270   @ Holy Cross L 64-70 25%     6 - 22 3 - 14 -9.4 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 24, 2018 93   Bucknell L 61-80 12%     6 - 23 3 - 15 -16.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 27, 2018 272   @ Lafayette L 86-93 26%     6 - 24 -10.5 -1.7 -1.7
Projected Record 6.0 - 24.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%