Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#213
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#222
Pace73.0#76
Improvement+1.5#109

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#213
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.0#270

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#213
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.5#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2017 92   Iowa St. L 98-104 21%     0 - 1 -0.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Nov 17, 2017 188   Western Michigan L 67-86 45%     0 - 2 -20.7 -0.8 -0.8
  Nov 19, 2017 249   UTEP W 76-72 58%     1 - 2 -1.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Nov 22, 2017 226   @ James Madison L 99-105 2OT 41%     1 - 3 -6.8 -0.4 -0.4
  Nov 25, 2017 53   Davidson W 78-62 18%     2 - 3 +22.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Nov 28, 2017 129   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 72-85 22%     2 - 4 -7.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 02, 2017 259   South Florida W 84-61 72%     3 - 4 +14.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 04, 2017 292   @ Western Carolina L 71-72 57%     3 - 5 -5.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Dec 09, 2017 251   @ Akron L 89-94 48%     3 - 6 -7.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 16, 2017 17   @ Ohio St. L 67-80 4%     3 - 7 +4.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Dec 20, 2017 258   @ Hampton L 53-86 49%     3 - 8 -35.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Dec 29, 2017 228   Texas St. W 66-62 65%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -2.9 -3.4 -3.4
  Dec 31, 2017 125   Texas Arlington W 80-76 41%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +3.3 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 04, 2018 70   @ Louisiana L 45-78 10%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -22.2 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 06, 2018 217   @ Louisiana Monroe W 79-73 39%     6 - 9 3 - 1 +5.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Jan 11, 2018 111   Georgia St. L 58-71 34%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -11.8 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 13, 2018 152   Georgia Southern L 59-60 46%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -3.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 20, 2018 230   @ South Alabama L 77-83 42%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -7.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 22, 2018 174   @ Troy L 79-81 30%     6 - 13 3 - 5 +0.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Jan 25, 2018 293   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-67 OT 77%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -5.9 -5.4 -5.4
  Jan 27, 2018 280   Arkansas St. L 88-93 75%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -15.0 -5.0 -5.0
  Feb 01, 2018 125   @ Texas Arlington L 77-89 21%     7 - 15 4 - 7 -6.6 +2.7 +2.7
  Feb 03, 2018 228   @ Texas St. W 59-56 42%     8 - 15 5 - 7 +2.1 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 10, 2018 210   @ Coastal Carolina W 81-66 38%     9 - 15 6 - 7 +15.1 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 15, 2018 230   South Alabama L 66-77 65%     9 - 16 6 - 8 -18.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Feb 17, 2018 174   Troy W 65-54 52%     10 - 16 7 - 8 +7.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Feb 22, 2018 280   @ Arkansas St. L 79-82 OT 54%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -7.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Feb 24, 2018 293   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 69-67 57%     11 - 17 8 - 9 -2.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Mar 03, 2018 210   Coastal Carolina W 76-67 61%     12 - 17 9 - 9 +3.1 -3.0 -3.0
  Mar 07, 2018 293   Arkansas Little Rock W 93-64 68%     13 - 17 +21.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Mar 09, 2018 125   Texas Arlington L 68-84 30%     13 - 18 -13.6 +1.2 +1.2
Projected Record 13.0 - 18.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%