Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#280
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#277
Pace72.1#97
Improvement+0.3#177

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#280
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.3#108

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#280
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.0#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 147   @ Evansville L 63-77 15%     0 - 1 -9.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Nov 13, 2017 268   Abilene Christian W 83-69 59%     1 - 1 +4.7 -4.6 -4.6
  Nov 16, 2017 143   @ Eastern Michigan L 59-76 15%     1 - 2 -12.8 +2.1 +2.1
  Nov 20, 2017 335   Howard W 92-78 82%     2 - 2 -2.6 -8.3 -8.3
  Nov 22, 2017 66   @ Indiana L 70-87 6%     2 - 3 -6.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Nov 24, 2017 259   @ South Florida L 61-72 35%     2 - 4 -13.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 29, 2017 300   @ Cleveland St. L 72-75 43%     2 - 5 -8.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Dec 05, 2017 299   Tennessee Martin L 78-92 66%     2 - 6 -25.2 -5.6 -5.6
  Dec 13, 2017 282   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-77 39%     2 - 7 -7.2 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 16, 2017 245   @ Florida Atlantic W 64-63 31%     3 - 7 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2017 19   @ Wichita St. L 80-89 2%     3 - 8 +8.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Dec 29, 2017 217   Louisiana Monroe W 75-64 47%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +4.8 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 31, 2017 70   Louisiana L 78-88 14%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -5.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 04, 2018 152   @ Georgia Southern L 49-80 15%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -27.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 06, 2018 111   @ Georgia St. L 75-79 10%     4 - 11 1 - 3 +3.3 +3.6 +3.6
  Jan 11, 2018 228   Texas St. L 67-73 49%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -12.9 -3.4 -3.4
  Jan 13, 2018 125   Texas Arlington L 71-97 27%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -26.7 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 20, 2018 293   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 70-62 41%     5 - 13 2 - 5 +3.2 -2.4 -2.4
  Jan 25, 2018 210   @ Coastal Carolina L 47-62 25%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -14.9 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 27, 2018 213   @ Appalachian St. W 93-88 25%     6 - 14 3 - 6 +5.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 01, 2018 111   Georgia St. L 66-77 22%     6 - 15 3 - 7 -9.8 +0.6 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2018 152   Georgia Southern W 91-89 32%     7 - 15 4 - 7 -0.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2018 174   @ Troy L 83-89 OT 19%     7 - 16 4 - 8 -3.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 10, 2018 230   @ South Alabama L 67-87 28%     7 - 17 4 - 9 -21.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 17, 2018 293   Arkansas Little Rock L 78-82 65%     7 - 18 4 - 10 -14.9 -5.4 -5.4
  Feb 22, 2018 213   Appalachian St. W 82-79 OT 46%     8 - 18 5 - 10 -3.1 -3.0 -3.0
  Feb 24, 2018 210   Coastal Carolina L 81-88 46%     8 - 19 5 - 11 -12.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Mar 01, 2018 70   @ Louisiana L 74-85 6%     8 - 20 5 - 12 -0.2 +5.4 +5.4
  Mar 03, 2018 217   @ Louisiana Monroe W 83-79 26%     9 - 20 6 - 12 +3.8 -0.1 -0.1
  Mar 07, 2018 217   Louisiana Monroe L 54-76 35%     9 - 21 -25.2 -1.6 -1.6
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%