Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#233
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#217
Pace70.4#141
Improvement-2.9#304

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#233
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-5.1#341

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#233
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.1#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 275   UC Riverside L 66-74 70%     0 - 1 -17.7 -4.8 -4.8
  Nov 12, 2017 321   Cal Poly W 85-82 80%     1 - 1 -10.1 -6.6 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2017 146   Wofford W 79-65 41%     2 - 1 +12.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Nov 20, 2017 19   Wichita St. L 82-92 5%     2 - 2 +4.2 +7.1 +7.1
  Nov 21, 2017 129   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-83 28%     2 - 3 -11.9 +1.0 +1.0
  Nov 28, 2017 327   Cal St. Northridge W 83-63 83%     3 - 3 +5.9 -7.1 -7.1
  Dec 02, 2017 43   St. Mary's L 63-74 14%     3 - 4 -3.5 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 06, 2017 214   Central Arkansas L 69-96 58%     3 - 5 -33.1 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 09, 2017 52   @ San Diego St. W 63-62 7%     4 - 5 +13.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Dec 16, 2017 165   Cal St. Fullerton W 95-89 OT 45%     5 - 5 +3.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Dec 19, 2017 190   @ Seattle W 81-59 31%     6 - 5 +23.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Dec 21, 2017 171   Portland St. L 81-106 47%     6 - 6 -28.4 -1.7 -1.7
  Dec 30, 2017 78   @ Stanford W 77-74 10%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +12.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 04, 2018 36   USC L 62-80 13%     7 - 7 1 - 1 -9.7 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 06, 2018 44   UCLA L 84-107 14%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -15.6 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2018 96   @ Washington L 56-66 13%     7 - 9 1 - 3 -1.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 13, 2018 181   @ Washington St. L 53-78 28%     7 - 10 1 - 4 -23.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Jan 17, 2018 20   Arizona L 58-79 9%     7 - 11 1 - 5 -10.1 +5.5 +5.5
  Jan 20, 2018 48   Arizona St. L 73-81 15%     7 - 12 1 - 6 -1.1 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 25, 2018 44   @ UCLA L 57-70 6%     7 - 13 1 - 7 +0.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Jan 28, 2018 36   @ USC L 59-77 5%     7 - 14 1 - 8 -3.7 +7.2 +7.2
  Feb 01, 2018 65   Oregon L 53-66 19%     7 - 15 1 - 9 -7.8 +2.6 +2.6
  Feb 03, 2018 90   Oregon St. W 74-70 26%     8 - 15 2 - 9 +6.7 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 07, 2018 107   @ Colorado L 64-68 14%     8 - 16 2 - 10 +3.5 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 10, 2018 62   @ Utah L 43-77 8%     8 - 17 2 - 11 -22.4 +5.8 +5.8
  Feb 18, 2018 78   Stanford L 73-77 22%     8 - 18 2 - 12 -0.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 22, 2018 181   Washington St. L 76-78 50%     8 - 19 2 - 13 -6.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Feb 24, 2018 96   Washington L 51-68 28%     8 - 20 2 - 14 -15.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Mar 01, 2018 48   @ Arizona St. L 53-84 7%     8 - 21 2 - 15 -18.1 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 03, 2018 20   @ Arizona L 54-66 4%     8 - 22 2 - 16 +5.0 +8.5 +8.5
  Mar 07, 2018 78   Stanford L 58-76 15%     8 - 23 -11.1 +3.5 +3.5
Projected Record 8.0 - 23.0 2.0 - 16.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%