Pre-tourney Rankings
Dayton
Atlantic 10
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#158
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#161
Pace65.4#267
Improvement-4.5#326

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#158
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.1#236

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#158
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-3.4#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 170   Ball St. W 78-77 65%     1 - 0 -2.3 -1.7 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2017 149   Hofstra L 69-72 48%     1 - 1 -2.0 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 17, 2017 196   Ohio W 79-65 61%     2 - 1 +11.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Nov 19, 2017 77   Old Dominion L 67-75 26%     2 - 2 -0.8 +3.6 +3.6
  Nov 25, 2017 251   Akron W 73-60 81%     3 - 2 +4.5 -4.3 -4.3
  Nov 29, 2017 15   Auburn L 60-73 15%     3 - 3 -1.3 +5.8 +5.8
  Dec 03, 2017 56   @ Mississippi St. L 59-61 14%     3 - 4 +10.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 06, 2017 224   Tennessee Tech W 79-66 76%     4 - 4 +6.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 09, 2017 120   Penn L 70-78 51%     4 - 5 -7.8 +0.1 +0.1
  Dec 16, 2017 111   Georgia St. W 88-83 OT 47%     5 - 5 +6.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Dec 19, 2017 43   @ St. Mary's L 54-69 12%     5 - 6 -1.4 +6.8 +6.8
  Dec 23, 2017 185   Wagner W 79-67 68%     6 - 6 +7.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Dec 30, 2017 191   @ Duquesne L 62-70 48%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -6.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 03, 2018 67   St. Bonaventure W 82-72 34%     7 - 7 1 - 1 +14.9 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 06, 2018 195   Massachusetts L 60-62 71%     7 - 8 1 - 2 -7.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 09, 2018 164   @ Richmond W 87-81 39%     8 - 8 2 - 2 +9.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 12, 2018 129   Virginia Commonwealth W 106-79 56%     9 - 8 3 - 2 +26.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2018 110   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-81 26%     9 - 9 3 - 3 -8.7 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 20, 2018 50   Rhode Island L 74-88 27%     9 - 10 3 - 4 -7.2 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 23, 2018 53   Davidson W 65-64 28%     10 - 10 4 - 4 +7.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 27, 2018 134   @ Saint Louis L 65-75 34%     10 - 11 4 - 5 -5.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 03, 2018 195   @ Massachusetts L 82-86 2OT 49%     10 - 12 4 - 6 -3.1 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 07, 2018 191   Duquesne W 88-73 70%     11 - 12 5 - 6 +10.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Feb 10, 2018 129   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 84-88 OT 33%     11 - 13 5 - 7 +1.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Feb 14, 2018 205   @ George Mason L 67-85 51%     11 - 14 5 - 8 -17.7 +0.2 +0.2
  Feb 17, 2018 278   Fordham W 80-70 84%     12 - 14 6 - 8 +0.1 -4.9 -4.9
  Feb 20, 2018 134   Saint Louis W 53-50 57%     13 - 14 7 - 8 +1.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 23, 2018 50   @ Rhode Island L 56-81 13%     13 - 15 7 - 9 -12.2 +6.4 +6.4
  Feb 28, 2018 151   @ La Salle L 53-71 37%     13 - 16 7 - 10 -14.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Mar 03, 2018 176   George Washington W 88-78 67%     14 - 16 8 - 10 +6.1 -1.9 -1.9
  Mar 08, 2018 129   Virginia Commonwealth L 72-77 44%     14 - 17 -2.9 +1.0 +1.0
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%