Pre-tourney Rankings
Duke
Atlantic Coast
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.7#2
Expected Predictive Rating+17.4#9
Pace73.1#74
Improvement-0.9#227

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#2
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-7.6#350

Defense
Total Defense+10.4#2
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+6.6#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 27.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 74.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen79.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight57.3% n/a n/a
Final Four37.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game24.3% n/a n/a
National Champion15.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 242   Elon W 97-68 99%     1 - 0 +21.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Nov 11, 2017 103   Utah Valley W 99-69 95%     2 - 0 +31.7 +0.8 +0.8
  Nov 14, 2017 6   Michigan St. W 88-81 61%     3 - 0 +24.9 +9.0 +9.0
  Nov 17, 2017 329   Southern W 78-61 99.6%    4 - 0 +2.3 -7.4 -7.4
  Nov 20, 2017 95   Furman W 92-63 95%     5 - 0 +31.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 23, 2017 171   Portland St. W 99-81 96%     6 - 0 +17.6 -0.2 -0.2
  Nov 24, 2017 37   Texas W 85-78 OT 81%     7 - 0 +18.3 +5.6 +5.6
  Nov 26, 2017 22   Florida W 87-84 75%     8 - 0 +16.8 +6.9 +6.9
  Nov 29, 2017 66   @ Indiana W 91-81 82%     9 - 0 +21.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Dec 02, 2017 74   South Dakota W 96-80 93%     10 - 0 +20.3 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2017 212   St. Francis (PA) W 124-67 98%     11 - 0 +50.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Dec 09, 2017 68   @ Boston College L 84-89 82%     11 - 1 0 - 1 +5.9 +5.5 +5.5
  Dec 20, 2017 147   Evansville W 104-40 97%     12 - 1 +62.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 30, 2017 33   Florida St. W 100-93 87%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +15.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 06, 2018 39   @ North Carolina St. L 85-96 74%     13 - 2 1 - 2 +3.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Jan 10, 2018 204   @ Pittsburgh W 87-52 96%     14 - 2 2 - 2 +35.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 13, 2018 89   Wake Forest W 89-71 94%     15 - 2 3 - 2 +20.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 15, 2018 38   @ Miami (FL) W 83-75 74%     16 - 2 4 - 2 +22.1 +7.1 +7.1
  Jan 20, 2018 204   Pittsburgh W 81-54 98%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +21.5 -2.8 -2.8
  Jan 23, 2018 89   @ Wake Forest W 84-70 87%     18 - 2 6 - 2 +22.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Jan 27, 2018 3   Virginia L 63-65 62%     18 - 3 6 - 3 +15.7 +8.8 +8.8
  Jan 29, 2018 32   Notre Dame W 88-66 87%     19 - 3 7 - 3 +30.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 03, 2018 69   @ St. John's L 77-81 82%     19 - 4 +6.9 +5.4 +5.4
  Feb 08, 2018 7   @ North Carolina L 78-82 50%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +16.7 +10.4 +10.4
  Feb 11, 2018 108   @ Georgia Tech W 80-69 89%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +18.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 14, 2018 31   Virginia Tech W 74-52 86%     21 - 5 9 - 4 +30.9 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 18, 2018 21   @ Clemson W 66-57 65%     22 - 5 10 - 4 +25.9 +8.4 +8.4
  Feb 21, 2018 27   Louisville W 82-56 86%     23 - 5 11 - 4 +35.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 24, 2018 54   Syracuse W 60-44 90%     24 - 5 12 - 4 +22.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 26, 2018 31   @ Virginia Tech L 63-64 71%     24 - 6 12 - 5 +13.9 +7.5 +7.5
  Mar 03, 2018 7   North Carolina W 74-64 72%     25 - 6 13 - 5 +24.7 +7.3 +7.3
  Mar 08, 2018 32   Notre Dame W 88-70 80%     26 - 6 +29.9 +5.9 +5.9
  Mar 09, 2018 7   North Carolina L 69-74 62%     26 - 7 +12.7 +8.9 +8.9
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 27.4 47.1 23.6 1.9 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 27.4 47.1 23.6 1.9 100.0%