Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#35
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#37
Pace72.3#92
Improvement-6.5#342

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#35
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-2.1#276

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#35
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-4.4#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 7.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 83.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.2% n/a n/a
First Round81.7% n/a n/a
Second Round42.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 141   Idaho W 88-64 89%     1 - 0 +22.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Nov 13, 2017 50   Rhode Island W 88-81 67%     2 - 0 +13.8 +3.4 +3.4
  Nov 15, 2017 261   @ Santa Clara W 93-63 91%     3 - 0 +27.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 18, 2017 173   @ Pacific W 89-74 80%     4 - 0 +17.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Nov 21, 2017 53   Davidson W 81-68 68%     5 - 0 +19.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Nov 24, 2017 202   @ Hawaii W 67-54 84%     6 - 0 +13.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 29, 2017 139   Illinois St. W 98-68 88%     7 - 0 +28.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 02, 2017 154   @ UC Irvine W 76-65 76%     8 - 0 +14.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Dec 05, 2017 12   @ Texas Tech L 76-82 OT 26%     8 - 1 +12.3 +9.1 +9.1
  Dec 08, 2017 23   TCU L 80-84 41%     8 - 2 +9.8 +6.9 +6.9
  Dec 17, 2017 179   Radford W 77-62 92%     9 - 2 +11.0 -2.0 -2.0
  Dec 19, 2017 148   UC Davis W 88-73 89%     10 - 2 +13.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 22, 2017 142   Southern Illinois W 86-64 83%     11 - 2 +23.3 +0.6 +0.6
  Dec 23, 2017 144   San Francisco L 64-66 83%     11 - 3 -0.9 +0.6 +0.6
  Dec 27, 2017 82   @ Fresno St. W 80-65 57%     12 - 3 1 - 0 +24.7 +4.8 +4.8
  Dec 30, 2017 105   New Mexico W 77-74 82%     13 - 3 2 - 0 +4.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 03, 2018 119   Wyoming W 92-83 85%     14 - 3 3 - 0 +9.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 06, 2018 223   @ Air Force W 86-75 87%     15 - 3 4 - 0 +10.4 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 13, 2018 138   Utah St. W 83-57 88%     16 - 3 5 - 0 +24.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 17, 2018 301   @ San Jose St. W 71-54 93%     17 - 3 6 - 0 +11.7 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 20, 2018 61   Boise St. W 74-68 72%     18 - 3 7 - 0 +11.5 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 24, 2018 119   @ Wyoming L 103-104 2OT 69%     18 - 4 7 - 1 +5.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 31, 2018 82   Fresno St. W 102-92 77%     19 - 4 8 - 1 +13.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 03, 2018 225   @ Colorado St. W 76-67 87%     20 - 4 9 - 1 +8.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 07, 2018 112   UNLV L 78-86 83%     20 - 5 9 - 2 -6.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 10, 2018 52   San Diego St. W 83-58 68%     21 - 5 10 - 2 +31.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 14, 2018 61   @ Boise St. W 77-72 49%     22 - 5 11 - 2 +16.6 +5.8 +5.8
  Feb 17, 2018 138   @ Utah St. W 93-87 75%     23 - 5 12 - 2 +10.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 21, 2018 301   San Jose St. W 80-67 97%     24 - 5 13 - 2 +1.7 -5.7 -5.7
  Feb 25, 2018 225   Colorado St. W 92-83 95%     25 - 5 14 - 2 +2.2 -3.4 -3.4
  Feb 28, 2018 112   @ UNLV W 101-75 66%     26 - 5 15 - 2 +33.1 +3.6 +3.6
  Mar 03, 2018 52   @ San Diego St. L 74-79 45%     26 - 6 15 - 3 +7.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 08, 2018 112   UNLV W 79-74 83%     27 - 6 +6.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Mar 09, 2018 52   San Diego St. L 73-90 57%     27 - 7 -7.3 +4.9 +4.9
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 83.1% 83.1% 8.3 0.0 0.5 7.0 19.0 20.8 18.9 13.5 3.4 16.9 83.1%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 83.1% 0.0% 83.1% 8.3 0.0 0.5 7.0 19.0 20.8 18.9 13.5 3.4 16.9 83.1%