Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#330
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#329
Pace70.8#127
Improvement+1.4#117

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#330
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.2#243

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#330
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+2.6#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 20   @ Arizona L 67-101 1%     0 - 1 -17.0 +8.5 +8.5
  Nov 17, 2017 48   @ Arizona St. L 62-97 2%     0 - 2 -22.1 +6.4 +6.4
  Nov 20, 2017 41   @ Kansas St. L 58-80 2%     0 - 3 -8.3 +6.9 +6.9
  Nov 23, 2017 258   Hampton L 66-76 29%     0 - 4 -15.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 24, 2017 154   UC Irvine L 71-77 12%     0 - 5 -5.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 30, 2017 261   @ Santa Clara L 57-89 20%     0 - 6 -35.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Dec 02, 2017 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 60-52 16%     1 - 6 +6.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 09, 2017 130   @ San Diego L 51-79 7%     1 - 7 -22.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 14, 2017 74   South Dakota L 77-90 7%     1 - 8 -8.7 +2.2 +2.2
  Dec 18, 2017 259   @ South Florida L 56-70 20%     1 - 9 -16.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Dec 20, 2017 320   @ Jacksonville W 83-72 31%     2 - 9 +4.2 -3.4 -3.4
  Dec 28, 2017 83   Montana L 69-87 8%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -14.5 +1.7 +1.7
  Dec 30, 2017 274   Montana St. L 73-76 OT 42%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -12.7 -4.8 -4.8
  Jan 04, 2018 167   @ Weber St. L 55-95 9%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -36.8 +1.6 +1.6
  Jan 06, 2018 240   @ Idaho St. L 60-64 17%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -5.6 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 13, 2018 267   @ Southern Utah L 75-81 21%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -9.2 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 18, 2018 140   Eastern Washington L 76-81 17%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -6.6 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 20, 2018 141   Idaho L 80-84 17%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -5.6 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 25, 2018 274   @ Montana St. W 77-75 22%     3 - 16 1 - 7 -1.6 -1.8 -1.8
  Jan 27, 2018 83   @ Montana L 64-82 3%     3 - 17 1 - 8 -8.5 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 01, 2018 240   Idaho St. L 61-63 34%     3 - 18 1 - 9 -9.6 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 03, 2018 167   Weber St. L 55-87 20%     3 - 19 1 - 10 -34.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 10, 2018 267   Southern Utah L 54-63 40%     3 - 20 1 - 11 -18.3 -4.6 -4.6
  Feb 15, 2018 117   @ Northern Colorado L 60-95 5%     3 - 21 1 - 12 -28.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 17, 2018 247   @ North Dakota L 81-86 OT 18%     3 - 22 1 - 13 -7.1 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 22, 2018 290   Sacramento St. W 58-53 46%     4 - 22 2 - 13 -5.7 -5.4 -5.4
  Feb 24, 2018 171   Portland St. L 66-72 21%     4 - 23 2 - 14 -9.4 -1.7 -1.7
  Mar 01, 2018 141   @ Idaho L 52-66 7%     4 - 24 2 - 15 -9.6 +2.2 +2.2
  Mar 03, 2018 140   @ Eastern Washington L 68-85 7%     4 - 25 2 - 16 -12.6 +2.2 +2.2
  Mar 06, 2018 117   Northern Colorado L 59-82 9%     4 - 26 -19.6 +1.7 +1.7
Projected Record 4.0 - 26.0 2.0 - 16.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%