Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#230
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Pace73.4#70
Improvement-0.8#217

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#230
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.2#119

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#230
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-1.9#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 12   @ Texas Tech L 50-75 3%     0 - 1 -6.7 +9.1 +9.1
  Nov 16, 2017 151   @ La Salle L 73-81 22%     0 - 2 -4.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Nov 18, 2017 332   Maine W 68-46 78%     1 - 2 +10.0 -6.0 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2017 215   St. Peter's W 54-49 47%     2 - 2 +1.9 -1.6 -1.6
  Nov 22, 2017 319   Stetson L 77-81 OT 80%     2 - 3 -16.7 -6.4 -6.4
  Nov 26, 2017 265   New Orleans W 55-52 69%     3 - 3 -6.2 -4.6 -4.6
  Nov 29, 2017 229   Southern Miss W 69-58 61%     4 - 3 +4.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Dec 02, 2017 239   @ Florida International L 58-87 41%     4 - 4 -30.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 10, 2017 316   @ SIU Edwardsville L 75-76 60%     4 - 5 -7.5 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 16, 2017 254   Eastern Illinois W 63-52 68%     5 - 5 +2.2 -4.4 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2017 166   @ Tulane L 73-77 24%     5 - 6 -0.7 +1.6 +1.6
  Dec 29, 2017 111   Georgia St. W 86-64 31%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +23.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Dec 31, 2017 152   Georgia Southern W 69-67 43%     7 - 6 2 - 0 -0.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 04, 2018 228   @ Texas St. L 69-72 38%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -3.9 -0.4 -0.4
  Jan 06, 2018 125   @ Texas Arlington L 67-91 19%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -18.6 +2.7 +2.7
  Jan 13, 2018 174   Troy L 64-79 48%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -18.6 -1.8 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2018 210   Coastal Carolina W 60-57 58%     8 - 9 3 - 3 -2.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Jan 20, 2018 213   Appalachian St. W 83-77 58%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -0.1 -3.0 -3.0
  Jan 25, 2018 70   @ Louisiana L 57-76 9%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -8.2 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 27, 2018 217   @ Louisiana Monroe L 74-83 36%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -9.2 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 03, 2018 174   @ Troy L 63-80 27%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -14.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 08, 2018 293   Arkansas Little Rock W 73-56 74%     10 - 12 5 - 6 +6.1 -5.4 -5.4
  Feb 10, 2018 280   Arkansas St. W 87-67 72%     11 - 12 6 - 6 +10.0 -5.0 -5.0
  Feb 15, 2018 213   @ Appalachian St. W 77-66 35%     12 - 12 7 - 6 +11.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 17, 2018 210   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-72 35%     12 - 13 7 - 7 -1.9 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 22, 2018 217   Louisiana Monroe L 62-66 59%     12 - 14 7 - 8 -10.2 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 24, 2018 70   Louisiana L 71-88 20%     12 - 15 7 - 9 -12.2 +2.4 +2.4
  Mar 01, 2018 152   @ Georgia Southern L 74-81 22%     12 - 16 7 - 10 -3.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Mar 03, 2018 111   @ Georgia St. L 75-90 15%     12 - 17 7 - 11 -7.7 +3.6 +3.6
  Mar 07, 2018 174   Troy L 62-69 37%     12 - 18 -7.5 -0.3 -0.3
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%