Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
219 Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0%   16   18 - 13 12 - 6 18 - 13 12 - 6 -3.2      +1.4 138 -4.6 296 67.1 222 -4.0 223 -4.0 2
246 Sacred Heart 0.0%   14 - 17 11 - 7 14 - 17 11 - 7 -5.1      -0.5 191 -4.6 295 77.8 23 -6.7 276 -5.2 4
256 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   15 - 16 9 - 9 15 - 16 9 - 9 -5.6      -4.0 284 -1.5 213 75.9 37 -6.4 270 -7.8 6
259 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 6 16 - 14 12 - 6 -5.7      +1.1 146 -6.8 333 69.4 153 -4.8 234 -3.7 1
274 Robert Morris 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 7 15 - 16 11 - 7 -6.5      -6.5 323 +0.1 168 66.1 248 -6.2 267 -5.0 3
285 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 9 15 - 15 9 - 9 -6.9      -5.9 317 -1.0 197 70.3 134 -5.8 259 -7.6 5
314 Wagner 0.0%   11 - 17 8 - 10 11 - 17 8 - 10 -9.4      -7.2 331 -2.1 234 61.7 332 -7.7 286 -8.7 7
322 Bryant 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 10 - 20 7 - 11 -10.8      -3.6 274 -7.2 337 69.4 154 -9.7 312 -9.8 8
325 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   9 - 20 5 - 13 9 - 20 5 - 13 -11.1      -5.6 309 -5.4 311 71.5 104 -9.9 315 -12.7 10
327 Mount St. Mary's 0.0%   7 - 22 6 - 12 7 - 22 6 - 12 -11.3      -7.0 328 -4.3 286 68.2 190 -11.9 330 -11.2 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 3.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 5.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 3.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 5.0 100.0
Wagner 7.0 100.0
Bryant 8.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 10.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Fairleigh Dickinson 12 - 6 100.0
Sacred Heart 11 - 7 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 9 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 12 - 6 100.0
Robert Morris 11 - 7 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 9 - 9 100.0
Wagner 8 - 10 100.0
Bryant 7 - 11 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 5 - 13 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 6 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0% 100.0
Sacred Heart
LIU Brooklyn
St. Francis (PA) 100.0% 100.0
Robert Morris
St. Francis Brooklyn
Wagner
Bryant
Central Connecticut St.
Mount St. Mary's


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Fairleigh Dickinson 100.0% 93.0% 63.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 63.2% 0.6 36.8 63.2
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0