Pre-tourney Rankings
Southland
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
157 Abilene Christian 100.0%   15   23 - 6 14 - 4 23 - 6 14 - 4 +0.4      -0.8 202 +1.2 139 65.2 279 +2.5 133 0.0 2
177 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   18 - 11 16 - 2 18 - 11 16 - 2 -0.9      +1.3 139 -2.2 237 66.1 247 -0.5 172 +5.6 1
224 Lamar 0.0%   16 - 13 12 - 6 16 - 13 12 - 6 -3.6      -0.8 201 -2.7 250 69.8 145 -3.8 220 -3.4 4
237 SE Louisiana 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 6 15 - 16 12 - 6 -4.4      -3.0 260 -1.4 208 64.6 291 -5.6 257 -3.3 3
253 New Orleans 0.0%   15 - 13 12 - 6 15 - 13 12 - 6 -5.4      -5.0 302 -0.5 178 69.6 152 -3.6 217 -4.0 5
284 Houston Baptist 0.0%   10 - 18 8 - 10 10 - 18 8 - 10 -6.9      -1.0 205 -6.0 324 81.7 12 -8.1 295 -9.0 8
288 TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0%   10 - 18 9 - 9 10 - 18 9 - 9 -7.1      -6.6 324 -0.6 183 63.7 313 -7.9 291 -6.6 6
302 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   10 - 16 7 - 11 10 - 16 7 - 11 -8.5      -5.8 314 -2.7 251 71.3 110 -7.9 289 -10.0 9
303 Central Arkansas 0.0%   11 - 19 8 - 10 11 - 19 8 - 10 -8.5      -3.4 268 -5.2 304 75.0 50 -7.2 280 -8.3 7
306 Nicholls St. 0.0%   10 - 17 7 - 11 10 - 17 7 - 11 -9.0      -3.7 278 -5.2 305 71.2 114 -8.9 304 -10.4 10
331 McNeese St. 0.0%   6 - 21 5 - 13 6 - 21 5 - 13 -11.8      -4.8 295 -7.0 336 65.8 261 -12.8 331 -12.8 12
337 Northwestern St. 0.0%   8 - 20 6 - 12 8 - 20 6 - 12 -13.8      -9.7 341 -4.1 282 70.7 125 -11.4 326 -11.5 11
344 Incarnate Word 0.0%   2 - 25 1 - 17 2 - 25 1 - 17 -15.1      -4.1 287 -11.0 353 64.2 296 -19.5 352 -22.8 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Abilene Christian 2.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 1.0 100.0
Lamar 3.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 3.0 100.0
New Orleans 3.0 100.0
Houston Baptist 7.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 6.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 9.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 7.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 9.0 100.0
McNeese St. 12.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 11.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Abilene Christian 14 - 4 100.0
Sam Houston St. 16 - 2 100.0
Lamar 12 - 6 100.0
SE Louisiana 12 - 6 100.0
New Orleans 12 - 6 100.0
Houston Baptist 8 - 10 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 9 - 9 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 7 - 11 100.0
Central Arkansas 8 - 10 100.0
Nicholls St. 7 - 11 100.0
McNeese St. 5 - 13 100.0
Northwestern St. 6 - 12 100.0
Incarnate Word 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Abilene Christian
Sam Houston St. 100.0% 100.0
Lamar
SE Louisiana
New Orleans
Houston Baptist
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Stephen F. Austin
Central Arkansas
Nicholls St.
McNeese St.
Northwestern St.
Incarnate Word


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Abilene Christian 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   1.8 91.0 7.3
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Abilene Christian 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
McNeese St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0