Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#131
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#206
Pace64.7#287
Improvement+1.1#135

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#114
First Shot+3.4#78
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#251
Layup/Dunks+1.4#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#193
Freethrows+1.0#107
Improvement+1.1#125

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#158
First Shot-1.4#213
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#31
Layups/Dunks+0.7#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#295
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#229
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement-0.1#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 20.0 - 6.00.0 - 11.0
Quad 34.0 - 6.04.0 - 17.0
Quad 48.0 - 3.012.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 324   Idaho St. L 70-72 93%     0 - 1 -15.8 -14.1 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2018 328   Jackson St. W 70-53 93%     1 - 1 +2.7 -5.6 +8.2
  Nov 19, 2018 49   Creighton L 82-94 24%     1 - 2 -1.9 +8.1 -9.3
  Nov 20, 2018 119   St. Bonaventure W 72-52 46%     2 - 2 +23.6 +11.0 +14.6
  Nov 21, 2018 186   Illinois St. L 70-73 66%     2 - 3 -4.5 -1.7 -2.9
  Nov 27, 2018 123   @ Drake L 74-83 37%     2 - 4 -2.9 +0.1 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2018 113   @ Grand Canyon L 67-69 34%     2 - 5 +4.8 +1.5 +3.2
  Dec 12, 2018 334   Alabama St. W 67-57 94%     3 - 5 -5.3 -6.9 +2.4
  Dec 15, 2018 43   @ Oregon L 54-66 16%     3 - 6 +1.4 -1.5 +1.2
  Dec 19, 2018 137   @ Loyola Marymount L 69-70 41%     3 - 7 +4.0 +7.1 -3.2
  Dec 22, 2018 198   Pacific W 83-71 77%     4 - 7 +6.9 +16.5 -8.6
  Dec 29, 2018 43   Oregon L 50-62 31%     4 - 8 -4.1 -11.7 +6.5
  Jan 02, 2019 308   @ Wyoming W 69-55 80%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +7.7 +4.3 +5.4
  Jan 05, 2019 104   San Diego St. W 88-64 53%     6 - 8 2 - 0 +25.9 +22.0 +4.8
  Jan 12, 2019 342   @ San Jose St. W 87-64 91%     7 - 8 3 - 0 +10.9 +13.3 -1.3
  Jan 15, 2019 26   Nevada L 71-72 22%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +9.7 +2.8 +6.9
  Jan 19, 2019 72   Fresno St. L 53-63 44%     7 - 10 3 - 2 -5.8 -11.6 +4.8
  Jan 22, 2019 232   @ Air Force L 60-74 65%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -15.3 -10.1 -5.9
  Jan 26, 2019 308   Wyoming W 77-52 91%     8 - 11 4 - 3 +13.1 -3.3 +15.5
  Jan 29, 2019 163   @ Colorado St. W 70-68 51%     9 - 11 5 - 3 +4.5 +3.3 +1.4
  Feb 02, 2019 26   @ Nevada L 73-93 11%     9 - 12 5 - 4 -3.8 +8.5 -12.3
  Feb 06, 2019 156   UNLV L 72-83 68%     9 - 13 5 - 5 -13.3 +2.4 -16.5
  Feb 09, 2019 342   San Jose St. W 105-57 96%     10 - 13 6 - 5 +30.4 +26.5 +4.8
  Feb 13, 2019 72   @ Fresno St. L 63-65 25%     10 - 14 6 - 6 +7.8 +1.1 +6.5
  Feb 16, 2019 104   @ San Diego St. L 65-71 32%     10 - 15 6 - 7 +1.4 +2.5 -1.5
  Feb 23, 2019 37   Utah St. L 71-78 OT 29%     10 - 16 6 - 8 +1.3 -2.4 +4.1
  Feb 27, 2019 163   Colorado St. L 62-76 71%     10 - 17 6 - 9 -17.1 -14.5 -2.6
  Mar 02, 2019 156   @ UNLV L 81-85 OT 48%     10 - 18 6 - 10 -0.7 +9.5 -10.2
  Mar 06, 2019 169   @ New Mexico L 72-73 52%     10 - 19 6 - 11 +1.2 +2.1 -1.0
  Mar 09, 2019 232   Air Force W 80-52 81%     11 - 19 7 - 11 +21.2 +12.5 +11.7
  Mar 13, 2019 163   Colorado St. W 66-57 61%     12 - 19 +8.7 -1.8 +11.5
  Mar 14, 2019 26   Nevada L 69-77 16%     12 - 20 +5.5 +7.9 -3.0
Projected Record 12.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%