Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois-Chicago
Horizon
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#208
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#198
Pace73.9#65
Improvement+0.1#175

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#257
First Shot-0.9#201
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#318
Layup/Dunks+1.2#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#54
Freethrows-2.6#320
Improvement-3.6#316

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#160
First Shot+1.5#119
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#291
Layups/Dunks+0.1#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#37
Freethrows-3.0#333
Improvement+3.7#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 35.0 - 7.05.0 - 11.0
Quad 49.0 - 5.014.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 77   @ Notre Dame L 67-84 14%     0 - 1 -8.0 -7.3 +0.8
  Nov 09, 2018 139   @ Radford L 78-88 24%     0 - 2 -5.2 +5.4 -10.5
  Nov 12, 2018 160   @ Duquesne L 88-89 OT 30%     0 - 3 +1.7 +6.2 -4.4
  Nov 15, 2018 209   William & Mary W 100-95 OT 61%     1 - 3 -0.4 +11.4 -12.5
  Nov 17, 2018 158   Bradley W 71-70 49%     2 - 3 -1.4 -1.2 -0.2
  Nov 28, 2018 174   @ Saint Joseph's L 75-89 33%     2 - 4 -12.0 -5.2 -5.4
  Dec 01, 2018 125   Loyola Chicago L 64-73 38%     2 - 5 -8.6 -6.5 -2.3
  Dec 05, 2018 186   Illinois St. W 94-75 56%     3 - 5 +14.7 +13.0 +0.3
  Dec 08, 2018 65   @ Colorado L 72-84 11%     3 - 6 -1.5 -0.8 +0.5
  Dec 14, 2018 91   @ DePaul L 70-90 16%     3 - 7 -11.8 -8.8 -0.8
  Dec 17, 2018 344   Incarnate Word W 63-57 92%     4 - 7 -11.9 -20.1 +8.5
  Dec 28, 2018 132   @ Wright St. W 75-72 OT 22%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +8.3 -1.0 +9.0
  Dec 30, 2018 114   @ Northern Kentucky L 58-73 19%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -8.3 -11.9 +3.4
  Jan 04, 2019 207   IUPUI L 64-66 61%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -7.4 -11.0 +3.6
  Jan 10, 2019 266   Youngstown St. W 78-63 73%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +6.1 +2.0 +4.8
  Jan 12, 2019 289   Cleveland St. W 73-56 76%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +7.0 -4.4 +11.9
  Jan 17, 2019 296   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-81 60%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -17.2 -6.7 -10.4
  Jan 19, 2019 218   @ Green Bay L 85-90 41%     7 - 11 3 - 4 -5.4 +2.1 -6.9
  Jan 24, 2019 255   Detroit Mercy W 79-67 71%     8 - 11 4 - 4 +3.7 +3.2 +1.3
  Jan 26, 2019 187   Oakland L 67-80 57%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -17.3 -12.7 -4.1
  Feb 01, 2019 132   Wright St. W 67-53 41%     9 - 12 5 - 5 +13.8 -3.0 +17.3
  Feb 03, 2019 114   Northern Kentucky W 69-67 36%     10 - 12 6 - 5 +3.2 -5.2 +8.3
  Feb 09, 2019 207   @ IUPUI W 76-75 39%     11 - 12 7 - 5 +1.1 +0.8 +0.3
  Feb 14, 2019 289   @ Cleveland St. W 81-77 57%     12 - 12 8 - 5 -0.5 +2.9 -3.4
  Feb 16, 2019 266   @ Youngstown St. L 73-81 53%     12 - 13 8 - 6 -11.4 -4.1 -7.3
  Feb 22, 2019 218   Green Bay L 62-63 63%     12 - 14 8 - 7 -6.9 -18.6 +11.8
  Feb 24, 2019 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-59 78%     13 - 14 9 - 7 +4.2 -2.3 +6.8
  Feb 28, 2019 187   @ Oakland L 72-86 35%     13 - 15 9 - 8 -12.8 -12.8 +2.0
  Mar 02, 2019 255   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-71 50%     14 - 15 10 - 8 +6.3 -1.9 +7.7
  Mar 05, 2019 218   @ Green Bay L 77-82 41%     14 - 16 -5.4 +4.8 -10.3
Projected Record 14.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%