Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-18.2#350
Expected Predictive Rating-18.0#347
Pace71.8#98
Improvement+1.2#129

Offense
Total Offense-10.8#347
First Shot-10.0#345
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#234
Layup/Dunks-7.2#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#333
Freethrows-1.5#290
Improvement+0.4#164

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#342
First Shot-6.6#342
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#267
Layups/Dunks-0.8#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#299
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#332
Freethrows+0.3#164
Improvement+0.9#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 30.0 - 5.00.0 - 12.0
Quad 45.0 - 14.05.0 - 26.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 38   @ Nebraska L 37-106 1%     0 - 1 -55.1 -32.9 -15.5
  Nov 09, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 52-84 0.2%    0 - 2 -11.0 -2.0 -12.3
  Nov 13, 2018 37   @ Utah St. L 59-94 1%     0 - 3 -21.1 -8.5 -12.0
  Nov 15, 2018 99   @ Utah L 63-98 2%     0 - 4 -27.4 -13.6 -12.3
  Nov 17, 2018 274   @ Robert Morris L 59-68 9%     0 - 5 -12.7 -9.9 -3.1
  Nov 20, 2018 237   SE Louisiana W 69-59 15%     1 - 5 +2.8 -9.7 +12.1
  Nov 25, 2018 75   @ Illinois L 67-86 1%     1 - 6 -9.5 +1.1 -11.4
  Dec 01, 2018 197   @ California Baptist L 71-107 5%     1 - 7 -35.6 -13.5 -17.3
  Dec 04, 2018 317   Southeast Missouri St. L 57-77 28%     1 - 8 -32.3 -22.8 -9.2
  Dec 11, 2018 144   @ Louisiana Tech L 80-96 3%     1 - 9 -11.6 +11.5 -23.4
  Dec 13, 2018 180   @ Santa Clara L 54-82 4%     1 - 10 -26.3 -12.8 -15.7
  Dec 16, 2018 185   @ Hawaii L 51-76 5%     1 - 11 -23.7 -22.1 -1.4
  Dec 22, 2018 113   @ Grand Canyon L 64-85 2%     1 - 12 -14.2 -4.7 -9.9
  Jan 05, 2019 320   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 52-64 17%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -19.9 -23.2 +3.1
  Jan 12, 2019 348   Alabama A&M W 72-63 52%     2 - 13 1 - 1 -9.8 -1.7 -7.5
  Jan 14, 2019 334   Alabama St. L 79-81 OT 39%     2 - 14 1 - 2 -17.3 -5.8 -11.4
  Jan 19, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. L 57-63 39%     2 - 15 1 - 3 -21.4 -18.9 -2.7
  Jan 21, 2019 336   @ Southern L 56-80 24%     2 - 16 1 - 4 -34.8 -19.3 -16.3
  Jan 26, 2019 234   Prairie View L 78-89 15%     2 - 17 1 - 5 -18.0 -5.6 -11.3
  Jan 28, 2019 238   Texas Southern L 62-65 15%     2 - 18 1 - 6 -10.2 -18.6 +8.6
  Feb 02, 2019 328   @ Jackson St. L 57-61 19%     2 - 19 1 - 7 -12.8 -7.4 -6.0
  Feb 04, 2019 294   @ Grambling St. L 57-79 11%     2 - 20 1 - 8 -27.1 -19.1 -6.5
  Feb 09, 2019 348   @ Alabama A&M L 63-78 31%     2 - 21 1 - 9 -28.2 -14.1 -13.7
  Feb 11, 2019 334   @ Alabama St. L 59-82 21%     2 - 22 1 - 10 -32.8 -19.0 -13.4
  Feb 16, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 76-68 60%     3 - 22 2 - 10 -12.9 -7.3 -5.9
  Feb 18, 2019 336   Southern W 70-59 43%     4 - 22 3 - 10 -5.4 -10.0 +4.6
  Feb 23, 2019 234   @ Prairie View L 63-69 7%     4 - 23 3 - 11 -7.4 -5.5 -2.3
  Feb 25, 2019 238   @ Texas Southern L 80-92 7%     4 - 24 3 - 12 -13.6 -5.6 -6.5
  Mar 02, 2019 328   Jackson St. W 60-57 35%     5 - 24 4 - 12 -11.3 -11.3 +0.2
  Mar 04, 2019 294   Grambling St. L 75-77 23%     5 - 25 4 - 13 -12.6 -5.1 -7.4
  Mar 09, 2019 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 57-91 32%     5 - 26 4 - 14 -47.4 -17.4 -32.6
Projected Record 5.0 - 26.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%