Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#53
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#38
Pace65.7#268
Improvement+2.7#74

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#39
First Shot+2.0#119
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#8
Layup/Dunks+3.6#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#41
Freethrows-0.9#245
Improvement+1.6#102

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#85
First Shot+2.0#107
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#58
Layups/Dunks+3.2#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement+1.2#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round28.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 23.0 - 1.03.0 - 2.0
Quad 39.0 - 2.012.0 - 4.0
Quad 416.0 - 0.028.0 - 4.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 195   North Dakota St. W 73-56 90%     1 - 0 +12.2 -1.0 +14.1
  Nov 09, 2018 290   UTEP W 96-69 95%     2 - 0 +16.9 +15.5 -1.1
  Nov 14, 2018 35   St. Mary's L 58-73 51%     2 - 1 -6.3 -4.2 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2018 169   @ New Mexico W 98-94 74%     3 - 1 +6.2 +18.2 -12.4
  Nov 28, 2018 290   @ UTEP W 62-58 89%     4 - 1 -0.6 -2.8 +2.5
  Dec 01, 2018 205   Washington St. W 69-63 90%     5 - 1 +0.6 -5.9 +6.8
  Dec 04, 2018 169   New Mexico W 100-65 87%     6 - 1 +31.6 +9.9 +16.4
  Dec 08, 2018 17   @ Kansas L 60-63 20%     6 - 2 +14.8 +3.3 +11.2
  Dec 17, 2018 194   Northern Colorado W 74-62 90%     7 - 2 +7.2 -0.3 +7.6
  Dec 19, 2018 252   Cal St. Northridge W 92-57 94%     8 - 2 +26.9 +14.2 +13.3
  Dec 22, 2018 123   Drake L 63-66 71%     8 - 3 +0.4 -5.1 +5.2
  Dec 23, 2018 205   Washington St. W 75-72 86%     9 - 3 +0.4 +4.3 -3.6
  Dec 30, 2018 163   @ Colorado St. W 88-68 73%     10 - 3 +22.5 +22.6 +1.8
  Jan 03, 2019 197   @ California Baptist L 76-82 79%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -5.6 -0.6 -4.8
  Jan 10, 2019 113   Grand Canyon W 77-75 77%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +3.3 +3.1 +0.2
  Jan 12, 2019 222   Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-62 92%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +4.8 +5.3 +0.8
  Jan 17, 2019 181   @ Seattle W 87-60 76%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +28.6 +17.6 +11.2
  Jan 19, 2019 101   @ Utah Valley W 83-78 56%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +12.6 +15.8 -3.1
  Jan 26, 2019 168   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 63-61 74%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +4.2 -3.6 +7.9
  Jan 31, 2019 233   UMKC W 70-54 92%     16 - 4 6 - 1 +9.1 +7.8 +4.6
  Feb 02, 2019 351   Chicago St. W 83-39 99%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +21.5 +0.8 +21.6
  Feb 07, 2019 222   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-70 OT 82%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +0.3 -3.4 +3.7
  Feb 09, 2019 113   @ Grand Canyon W 67-64 58%     19 - 4 9 - 1 +9.8 +7.3 +3.0
  Feb 14, 2019 101   Utah Valley W 84-77 75%     20 - 4 10 - 1 +9.0 +7.0 +1.7
  Feb 16, 2019 181   Seattle W 59-53 88%     21 - 4 11 - 1 +2.0 -9.5 +12.0
  Feb 23, 2019 168   UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-79 87%     22 - 4 12 - 1 +5.6 +11.9 -6.7
  Feb 28, 2019 233   @ UMKC W 75-55 83%     23 - 4 13 - 1 +18.7 +3.9 +15.4
  Mar 02, 2019 351   @ Chicago St. W 92-58 98%     24 - 4 14 - 1 +17.0 +9.8 +6.8
  Mar 09, 2019 197   California Baptist W 75-63 90%     25 - 4 15 - 1 +6.9 +3.0 +4.8
  Mar 14, 2019 351   Chicago St. W 86-49 99%     26 - 4 +17.2 +1.7 +14.8
  Mar 15, 2019 168   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-72 82%     27 - 4 +6.4 +13.1 -6.3
  Mar 16, 2019 113   Grand Canyon W 89-57 68%     28 - 4 +36.0 +20.9 +16.4
Projected Record 28.0 - 4.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.7 0.1 0.7 2.1 6.1 21.8 61.2 8.0 0.2
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.1 0.7 2.1 6.1 21.8 61.2 8.0 0.2