Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#275
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#260
Pace71.8#99
Improvement+3.6#47

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
First Shot-5.6#318
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#4
Layup/Dunks-4.4#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#249
Freethrows+1.7#60
Improvement+3.8#33

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#309
First Shot-4.2#301
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#296
Layups/Dunks-2.5#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#54
Freethrows-3.4#344
Improvement-0.2#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 32.0 - 4.03.0 - 7.0
Quad 410.0 - 9.013.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 43   @ Oregon L 57-84 4%     0 - 1 -13.6 -4.7 -9.6
  Nov 10, 2018 312   UC Riverside W 71-64 70%     1 - 1 -5.0 -11.8 +6.6
  Nov 23, 2018 170   UC Santa Barbara L 69-76 28%     1 - 2 -7.6 -9.6 +2.5
  Nov 28, 2018 103   @ Stanford L 67-79 10%     1 - 3 -4.5 -8.7 +5.8
  Dec 05, 2018 319   Portland W 87-78 74%     2 - 3 -4.3 +5.9 -10.6
  Dec 12, 2018 95   @ BYU L 66-85 9%     2 - 4 -10.9 -10.7 +1.4
  Dec 15, 2018 137   Loyola Marymount L 58-85 28%     2 - 5 -27.6 -13.7 -14.0
  Dec 20, 2018 222   Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-76 48%     2 - 6 -11.2 -4.6 -6.7
  Dec 31, 2018 194   Northern Colorado L 60-73 43%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -17.8 -9.2 -9.8
  Jan 03, 2019 241   @ Montana St. L 88-98 32%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -11.9 +1.1 -12.1
  Jan 05, 2019 130   @ Montana W 77-74 OT 13%     3 - 8 1 - 2 +8.5 +5.0 +3.5
  Jan 12, 2019 212   Weber St. L 88-95 OT 46%     3 - 9 1 - 3 -12.5 -1.2 -10.3
  Jan 17, 2019 280   @ Southern Utah L 69-83 40%     3 - 10 1 - 4 -18.0 -11.4 -5.2
  Jan 19, 2019 300   @ Northern Arizona L 75-82 45%     3 - 11 1 - 5 -12.4 -9.7 -1.9
  Jan 24, 2019 227   Eastern Washington W 78-65 49%     4 - 11 2 - 5 +6.5 +19.3 -9.9
  Jan 26, 2019 345   Idaho W 69-53 86%     5 - 11 3 - 5 -2.1 -8.9 +8.2
  Jan 31, 2019 212   @ Weber St. W 76-75 26%     6 - 11 4 - 5 +1.0 +4.7 -3.7
  Feb 02, 2019 324   @ Idaho St. L 67-69 56%     6 - 12 4 - 6 -10.2 -0.7 -9.9
  Feb 07, 2019 194   @ Northern Colorado L 62-80 24%     6 - 13 4 - 7 -17.3 -4.8 -14.0
  Feb 11, 2019 272   @ Sacramento St. L 67-78 38%     6 - 14 4 - 8 -14.6 +3.0 -19.1
  Feb 14, 2019 300   Northern Arizona W 103-94 66%     7 - 14 5 - 8 -1.9 +10.1 -13.2
  Feb 16, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 78-69 61%     8 - 14 6 - 8 -0.5 +1.9 -2.4
  Feb 21, 2019 324   Idaho St. W 99-93 75%     9 - 14 7 - 8 -7.8 +5.7 -14.1
  Feb 23, 2019 272   Sacramento St. W 65-57 60%     10 - 14 8 - 8 -1.2 -5.9 +5.3
  Feb 28, 2019 345   @ Idaho W 67-65 72%     11 - 14 9 - 8 -10.5 -15.7 +5.2
  Mar 02, 2019 227   @ Eastern Washington L 66-68 29%     11 - 15 9 - 9 -2.9 -2.5 -0.5
  Mar 07, 2019 130   Montana W 81-69 26%     12 - 15 10 - 9 +12.0 +10.0 +2.4
  Mar 09, 2019 241   Montana St. W 84-80 53%     13 - 15 11 - 9 -3.5 +6.2 -9.5
  Mar 14, 2019 212   Weber St. L 71-81 35%     13 - 16 -12.8 -9.1 -2.8
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 11.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%