Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego St.
Mountain West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#104
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#100
Pace67.0#225
Improvement+1.4#123

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#180
First Shot-0.3#188
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#159
Layup/Dunks-5.9#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#233
Freethrows+2.3#38
Improvement-6.7#348

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#58
First Shot+4.9#47
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#212
Layups/Dunks+4.1#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#181
Freethrows+1.1#95
Improvement+8.1#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 4.01.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.03.0 - 5.0
Quad 21.0 - 1.04.0 - 6.0
Quad 37.0 - 6.011.0 - 12.0
Quad 49.0 - 1.020.0 - 13.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-60 94%     1 - 0 +2.6 -2.2 +4.9
  Nov 14, 2018 238   Texas Southern W 103-64 86%     2 - 0 +31.8 +12.8 +14.4
  Nov 19, 2018 3   Duke L 64-90 6%     2 - 1 -3.4 +0.2 -2.7
  Nov 20, 2018 60   Xavier W 79-74 37%     3 - 1 +13.1 +16.7 -3.2
  Nov 21, 2018 16   Iowa St. L 57-87 16%     3 - 2 -14.8 -3.5 -15.3
  Nov 27, 2018 328   Jackson St. W 87-44 95%     4 - 2 +28.7 +1.7 +22.2
  Dec 01, 2018 186   @ Illinois St. W 75-65 63%     5 - 2 +11.3 +4.4 +7.0
  Dec 05, 2018 96   San Diego L 61-73 58%     5 - 3 -9.6 -4.7 -5.7
  Dec 08, 2018 231   @ California L 83-89 71%     5 - 4 -7.2 +18.7 -26.6
  Dec 22, 2018 95   BYU W 90-81 58%     6 - 4 +11.5 +11.4 -0.3
  Dec 29, 2018 149   Brown L 61-82 73%     6 - 5 -22.6 -8.7 -13.9
  Jan 01, 2019 252   Cal St. Northridge W 65-60 88%     7 - 5 -3.1 -12.3 +9.4
  Jan 05, 2019 131   @ Boise St. L 64-88 47%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -18.6 -4.6 -14.9
  Jan 08, 2019 308   Wyoming W 84-54 93%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +18.1 +4.5 +12.9
  Jan 12, 2019 232   @ Air Force L 48-62 72%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -15.3 -19.5 +2.6
  Jan 15, 2019 169   New Mexico W 97-77 78%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +16.6 +17.0 -1.4
  Jan 22, 2019 72   @ Fresno St. L 62-66 31%     9 - 8 2 - 3 +5.8 -3.0 +8.7
  Jan 26, 2019 156   UNLV W 94-77 75%     10 - 8 3 - 3 +14.7 +15.1 -1.1
  Jan 30, 2019 232   Air Force W 66-51 86%     11 - 8 4 - 3 +8.2 -6.2 +15.2
  Feb 02, 2019 342   @ San Jose St. W 67-56 93%     12 - 8 5 - 3 -1.1 -2.1 +2.5
  Feb 05, 2019 169   @ New Mexico L 70-83 60%     12 - 9 5 - 4 -10.8 -4.8 -5.5
  Feb 09, 2019 37   Utah St. W 68-63 36%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +13.3 +6.8 +7.1
  Feb 12, 2019 163   @ Colorado St. W 71-60 58%     14 - 9 7 - 4 +13.5 +2.5 +11.8
  Feb 16, 2019 131   Boise St. W 71-65 68%     15 - 9 8 - 4 +5.9 +1.8 +4.5
  Feb 20, 2019 26   Nevada W 65-57 28%     16 - 9 9 - 4 +18.7 -5.7 +24.0
  Feb 23, 2019 156   @ UNLV W 60-59 55%     17 - 9 10 - 4 +4.3 -9.9 +14.2
  Feb 26, 2019 37   @ Utah St. L 54-70 19%     17 - 10 10 - 5 -2.1 -6.7 +2.8
  Mar 02, 2019 342   San Jose St. W 84-56 97%     18 - 10 11 - 5 +10.4 -0.4 +9.5
  Mar 06, 2019 72   Fresno St. L 74-76 52%     18 - 11 11 - 6 +2.2 -1.4 +3.8
  Mar 09, 2019 26   @ Nevada L 53-81 14%     18 - 12 11 - 7 -11.8 -13.3 +2.3
  Mar 14, 2019 156   @ UNLV W 63-55 55%     19 - 12 +11.3 -8.3 +19.7
  Mar 15, 2019 26   Nevada W 65-56 20%     20 - 12 +22.5 +2.5 +20.5
  Mar 16, 2019 37   Utah St. L 57-64 27%     20 - 13 +4.1 -4.1 +7.4
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%