Pre-tourney Rankings
San Jose St.
Mountain West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.9#342
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#337
Pace72.7#83
Improvement-6.5#341

Offense
Total Offense-8.4#337
First Shot-7.6#335
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#232
Layup/Dunks-2.7#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#277
Freethrows-0.6#227
Improvement-2.2#277

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#329
First Shot-5.9#326
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#242
Layups/Dunks-0.7#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.6#353
Freethrows+3.7#8
Improvement-4.4#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 30.0 - 10.00.0 - 17.0
Quad 43.0 - 10.03.0 - 27.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 280   Southern Utah L 59-66 30%     0 - 1 -16.5 -18.2 +1.8
  Nov 15, 2018 212   Weber St. L 77-85 13%     0 - 2 -10.8 -7.8 -1.9
  Nov 17, 2018 222   Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-73 14%     0 - 3 -4.5 -2.9 -1.6
  Nov 18, 2018 124   Central Michigan L 74-76 6%     0 - 4 +1.3 +0.7 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2018 180   Santa Clara L 63-71 15%     0 - 5 -11.9 -7.7 -4.6
  Nov 28, 2018 202   Indiana St. L 57-86 18%     0 - 6 -34.3 -19.4 -14.0
  Dec 06, 2018 310   Bethune-Cookman W 67-65 39%     1 - 6 -10.0 -10.3 +0.3
  Dec 15, 2018 300   Northern Arizona W 79-74 35%     2 - 6 -5.9 -5.4 -0.8
  Dec 18, 2018 103   @ Stanford L 73-78 3%     2 - 7 +2.5 +2.4 +0.3
  Dec 21, 2018 231   @ California L 80-88 11%     2 - 8 -9.2 +7.8 -17.3
  Dec 29, 2018 35   @ St. Mary's L 45-75 1%     2 - 9 -15.8 -18.9 +1.3
  Jan 02, 2019 72   Fresno St. L 53-73 5%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -15.8 -14.3 -2.6
  Jan 09, 2019 26   @ Nevada L 53-92 1%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -22.8 -14.9 -5.7
  Jan 12, 2019 131   Boise St. L 64-87 9%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -23.1 -6.8 -17.4
  Jan 16, 2019 37   Utah St. L 63-81 3%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -9.7 -5.3 -4.7
  Jan 19, 2019 156   @ UNLV L 56-94 6%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -34.7 -20.7 -11.1
  Jan 23, 2019 308   @ Wyoming L 46-59 21%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -19.3 -20.6 -0.9
  Jan 26, 2019 232   Air Force L 71-73 2OT 22%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -8.8 -18.4 +9.9
  Jan 30, 2019 37   @ Utah St. L 73-103 1%     2 - 17 0 - 8 -16.1 +1.0 -14.9
  Feb 02, 2019 104   San Diego St. L 56-67 7%     2 - 18 0 - 9 -9.1 -6.2 -4.4
  Feb 09, 2019 131   @ Boise St. L 57-105 4%     2 - 19 0 - 10 -42.6 -12.9 -30.6
  Feb 13, 2019 169   @ New Mexico L 60-92 7%     2 - 20 0 - 11 -29.8 -16.5 -11.0
  Feb 16, 2019 156   UNLV L 64-71 12%     2 - 21 0 - 12 -9.3 -12.6 +3.5
  Feb 20, 2019 163   Colorado St. L 70-91 14%     2 - 22 0 - 13 -24.1 -9.0 -14.3
  Feb 23, 2019 232   @ Air Force L 68-82 11%     2 - 23 0 - 14 -15.3 -7.3 -7.5
  Feb 26, 2019 169   New Mexico W 89-82 14%     3 - 23 1 - 14 +3.6 +2.7 +0.0
  Mar 02, 2019 104   @ San Diego St. L 56-84 3%     3 - 24 1 - 15 -20.6 -13.2 -6.1
  Mar 06, 2019 308   Wyoming L 71-81 38%     3 - 25 1 - 16 -21.9 -8.4 -13.2
  Mar 09, 2019 72   @ Fresno St. L 81-121 2%     3 - 26 1 - 17 -30.2 +6.4 -33.2
  Mar 13, 2019 232   Air Force L 56-87 16%     3 - 27 -35.1 -19.1 -15.7
Projected Record 3.0 - 27.0 1.0 - 17.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%