Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota
Summit League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#226
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#246
Pace67.6#209
Improvement-1.0#231

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#243
First Shot+0.0#182
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#322
Layup/Dunks-1.9#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#220
Freethrows+2.5#27
Improvement+3.7#36

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#211
First Shot-2.6#244
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#68
Layups/Dunks-1.8#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#112
Freethrows-2.7#326
Improvement-4.7#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 1.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 31.0 - 5.01.0 - 9.0
Quad 410.0 - 8.011.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 300   Northern Arizona W 90-74 76%     1 - 0 +5.1 +5.4 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2018 236   High Point L 56-60 53%     1 - 1 -8.4 -8.5 -0.5
  Nov 18, 2018 232   Air Force L 62-65 52%     1 - 2 -7.1 -10.9 +3.8
  Nov 19, 2018 230   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 58-52 51%     2 - 2 +2.0 -15.1 +16.9
  Nov 27, 2018 40   @ Baylor L 57-63 6%     2 - 3 +7.8 -4.0 +11.2
  Dec 01, 2018 222   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-56 60%     3 - 3 +5.8 -3.3 +10.0
  Dec 04, 2018 65   @ Colorado L 58-82 10%     3 - 4 -13.5 -7.2 -6.4
  Dec 08, 2018 233   UMKC L 63-65 62%     3 - 5 -8.9 -8.5 -0.5
  Dec 16, 2018 163   @ Colorado St. W 68-63 28%     4 - 5 +7.5 +2.2 +5.9
  Dec 18, 2018 17   @ Kansas L 53-89 3%     4 - 6 -18.2 -12.9 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2018 109   Southern Miss L 60-66 31%     4 - 7 -4.5 -5.3 +0.2
  Dec 29, 2018 195   @ North Dakota St. L 65-71 34%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -5.3 -5.8 +0.1
  Jan 02, 2019 304   @ Denver W 71-70 59%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -4.8 -0.3 -4.5
  Jan 06, 2019 92   South Dakota St. L 61-79 28%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -15.4 -13.2 -2.4
  Jan 13, 2019 182   Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-73 52%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +9.9 +5.0 +4.2
  Jan 17, 2019 286   @ Oral Roberts L 74-77 52%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -7.2 -3.8 -3.5
  Jan 20, 2019 162   @ Nebraska Omaha L 68-75 27%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -4.4 -1.3 -3.7
  Jan 23, 2019 258   @ North Dakota W 70-56 47%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +11.1 -0.4 +12.0
  Jan 26, 2019 293   Western Illinois L 59-65 75%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -16.6 -14.9 -2.1
  Jan 30, 2019 182   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-102 31%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -29.5 -10.5 -15.9
  Feb 07, 2019 162   Nebraska Omaha L 102-107 OT 47%     7 - 14 3 - 7 -7.9 +8.1 -15.3
  Feb 10, 2019 286   Oral Roberts L 72-86 72%     7 - 15 3 - 8 -23.8 -4.3 -20.4
  Feb 16, 2019 293   @ Western Illinois W 80-67 55%     8 - 15 4 - 8 +8.0 +4.4 +3.4
  Feb 20, 2019 304   Denver W 72-45 77%     9 - 15 5 - 8 +15.6 +0.3 +18.5
  Feb 23, 2019 92   @ South Dakota St. L 89-94 14%     9 - 16 5 - 9 +3.1 +12.7 -9.3
  Feb 28, 2019 195   North Dakota St. W 75-65 55%     10 - 16 6 - 9 +5.2 +4.5 +1.6
  Mar 02, 2019 258   North Dakota W 78-63 68%     11 - 16 7 - 9 +6.5 +1.9 +4.6
  Mar 10, 2019 182   Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-96 41%     11 - 17 -27.3 -8.8 -17.3
Projected Record 11.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%