Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Utah
Big Sky
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#280
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#241
Pace75.4#44
Improvement+1.1#133

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#301
First Shot-2.3#257
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#335
Layup/Dunks-1.0#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#319
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#184
Freethrows+1.9#50
Improvement+0.8#140

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#224
First Shot-3.3#275
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#43
Layups/Dunks-1.3#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+0.3#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 33.0 - 4.03.0 - 7.0
Quad 411.0 - 9.014.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 342   @ San Jose St. W 66-59 70%     1 - 0 -5.1 -13.2 +8.0
  Nov 18, 2018 181   @ Seattle W 73-70 21%     2 - 0 +4.6 +0.1 +4.3
  Nov 23, 2018 156   @ UNLV L 71-76 17%     2 - 1 -1.7 -0.3 -1.5
  Dec 05, 2018 217   @ Long Beach St. L 71-82 27%     2 - 2 -11.3 -10.7 +0.8
  Dec 08, 2018 124   @ Central Michigan L 86-95 12%     2 - 3 -2.9 +8.1 -10.4
  Dec 15, 2018 154   Pepperdine W 78-69 OT 32%     3 - 3 +7.1 -9.1 +14.8
  Dec 21, 2018 84   @ USC L 49-91 8%     3 - 4 -33.3 -25.2 -4.0
  Dec 29, 2018 241   Montana St. L 62-92 53%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -37.5 -21.7 -14.7
  Dec 31, 2018 130   Montana L 76-89 26%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -13.0 -5.4 -6.3
  Jan 03, 2019 324   @ Idaho St. L 68-88 56%     3 - 7 0 - 3 -28.2 -16.9 -10.1
  Jan 05, 2019 212   @ Weber St. W 90-82 OT 26%     4 - 7 1 - 3 +8.0 +4.2 +2.7
  Jan 12, 2019 300   Northern Arizona W 84-82 66%     5 - 7 2 - 3 -8.9 +4.8 -13.7
  Jan 17, 2019 275   Portland St. W 83-69 60%     6 - 7 3 - 3 +4.6 -5.1 +8.3
  Jan 19, 2019 272   Sacramento St. W 76-71 59%     7 - 7 4 - 3 -4.2 -5.9 +1.3
  Jan 24, 2019 194   @ Northern Colorado L 68-79 24%     7 - 8 4 - 4 -10.3 -6.8 -3.0
  Jan 28, 2019 300   @ Northern Arizona L 77-80 OT 44%     7 - 9 4 - 5 -8.4 -8.8 +0.8
  Feb 02, 2019 227   @ Eastern Washington L 79-82 29%     7 - 10 4 - 6 -3.9 +0.6 -4.3
  Feb 04, 2019 345   @ Idaho W 75-64 71%     8 - 10 5 - 6 -1.5 -0.6 -0.2
  Feb 07, 2019 212   Weber St. W 65-53 45%     9 - 10 6 - 6 +6.5 -9.1 +15.8
  Feb 09, 2019 324   Idaho St. W 78-72 75%     10 - 10 7 - 6 -7.8 -5.3 -2.5
  Feb 14, 2019 272   @ Sacramento St. L 73-84 38%     10 - 11 7 - 7 -14.6 -3.5 -10.6
  Feb 16, 2019 275   @ Portland St. L 69-78 39%     10 - 12 7 - 8 -12.9 -7.9 -5.0
  Feb 21, 2019 227   Eastern Washington W 76-62 49%     11 - 12 8 - 8 +7.5 +1.2 +6.6
  Feb 23, 2019 345   Idaho W 85-76 85%     12 - 12 9 - 8 -9.1 -1.6 -7.8
  Mar 02, 2019 130   @ Montana L 54-70 13%     12 - 13 9 - 9 -10.5 -15.1 +3.9
  Mar 04, 2019 241   @ Montana St. L 83-90 32%     12 - 14 9 - 10 -8.9 -1.4 -7.0
  Mar 07, 2019 194   Northern Colorado L 53-70 42%     12 - 15 9 - 11 -21.8 -19.6 -2.8
  Mar 13, 2019 324   Idaho St. W 94-80 66%     13 - 15 +3.0 +6.0 -3.9
  Mar 14, 2019 194   Northern Colorado W 83-64 32%     14 - 15 +16.9 +8.9 +7.8
  Mar 15, 2019 227   Eastern Washington L 61-77 38%     14 - 16 -19.7 -17.6 -1.1
Projected Record 14.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%