Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#249
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#225
Pace68.1#198
Improvement-5.2#336

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#206
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#267
Layup/Dunks+2.3#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#152
Freethrows-1.0#253
Improvement-6.2#346

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#288
First Shot-3.2#271
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#289
Layups/Dunks-2.6#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#301
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement+1.0#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 22.0 - 4.02.0 - 5.0
Quad 32.0 - 9.04.0 - 14.0
Quad 46.0 - 4.010.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 102   @ Saint Louis L 58-62 12%     0 - 1 +3.5 -4.2 +7.4
  Nov 12, 2018 93   @ Pittsburgh L 75-84 11%     0 - 2 -0.9 +8.6 -9.5
  Nov 15, 2018 109   Southern Miss L 66-81 25%     0 - 3 -13.5 +1.8 -17.0
  Nov 18, 2018 303   Central Arkansas W 82-77 72%     1 - 3 -6.3 +1.2 -7.6
  Nov 24, 2018 301   North Alabama W 77-58 71%     2 - 3 +8.0 +3.5 +5.0
  Nov 29, 2018 140   Austin Peay L 74-79 OT 33%     2 - 4 -5.9 -11.2 +5.9
  Dec 03, 2018 13   @ Florida St. L 67-83 2%     2 - 5 +3.1 -1.8 +6.6
  Dec 16, 2018 117   @ Western Kentucky W 87-81 13%     3 - 5 +12.6 +11.2 +0.9
  Dec 21, 2018 147   @ UAB W 74-73 18%     4 - 5 +5.2 +3.9 +1.3
  Dec 29, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71-63 78%     5 - 5 -5.4 +0.3 -4.9
  Jan 03, 2019 167   Coastal Carolina L 75-88 42%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -16.4 -0.8 -15.4
  Jan 05, 2019 201   Appalachian St. W 89-85 50%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -1.3 +8.9 -10.3
  Jan 10, 2019 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 59-73 34%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -15.2 -14.2 -0.7
  Jan 12, 2019 248   @ Arkansas St. W 90-85 OT 39%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +2.4 +8.1 -6.0
  Jan 17, 2019 111   Georgia Southern L 82-90 26%     7 - 8 2 - 3 -6.6 +3.9 -9.9
  Jan 19, 2019 116   Georgia St. W 77-75 27%     8 - 8 3 - 3 +3.1 +10.2 -7.0
  Jan 24, 2019 145   @ Louisiana Monroe L 69-75 18%     8 - 9 3 - 4 -1.6 -5.1 +3.3
  Jan 26, 2019 178   @ Louisiana L 81-86 25%     8 - 10 3 - 5 -3.1 +4.7 -7.8
  Feb 02, 2019 214   @ South Alabama L 75-81 30%     8 - 11 3 - 6 -6.1 +6.9 -13.4
  Feb 07, 2019 229   Arkansas Little Rock L 70-84 55%     8 - 12 3 - 7 -20.7 -3.1 -17.9
  Feb 09, 2019 248   Arkansas St. W 84-79 61%     9 - 12 4 - 7 -3.1 +5.3 -8.4
  Feb 13, 2019 116   @ Georgia St. L 63-77 13%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -7.3 -7.6 +0.4
  Feb 15, 2019 111   @ Georgia Southern L 51-76 13%     9 - 14 4 - 9 -18.0 -26.2 +11.7
  Feb 23, 2019 214   South Alabama L 52-68 51%     9 - 15 4 - 10 -21.6 -19.9 -3.1
  Feb 28, 2019 138   Texas St. L 44-58 32%     9 - 16 4 - 11 -14.6 -20.2 +3.7
  Mar 02, 2019 150   Texas Arlington L 66-79 36%     9 - 17 4 - 12 -14.7 +0.7 -16.5
  Mar 07, 2019 201   @ Appalachian St. L 64-72 29%     9 - 18 4 - 13 -7.7 -9.7 +1.8
  Mar 09, 2019 167   @ Coastal Carolina W 74-67 24%     10 - 18 5 - 13 +9.2 +1.2 +7.9
Projected Record 10.0 - 18.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%