IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.0	#184
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.2	#200
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#177

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#191

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.4%	4.9%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%
Average Seed	12.9	12.8	13.7

.500 or above	45.2%	49.6%	24.2%
.500 or above in Conference	45.6%	48.5%	31.9%
Conference Champion	4.3%	4.8%	2.2%
Last Place in Conference	11.4%	9.8%	19.3%

First Four	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%
First Round	4.1%	4.6%	1.8%
Second Round	0.6%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Neutral) - 82.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 2.0	0.1 - 2.0
Quad 1b	0.3 - 1.7	0.4 - 3.6
Quad 2	1.1 - 3.5	1.5 - 7.1
Quad 3	4.1 - 5.4	5.6 - 12.5
Quad 4	8.4 - 2.5	14.0 - 15.0

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2018	329	Youngstown St.	W	80-70	83%
Nov 16, 2018	350	Chicago St.	W	82-67	95%
Nov 19, 2018	18	Clemson	L	62-76	10%
Nov 20, 2018	75	Illinois St.	L	69-77	24%
Nov 21, 2018	119	St. Bonaventure	L	70-74	35%
Nov 28, 2018	325	Alabama St.	W	77-68	86%
Dec 01, 2018	336	Detroit Mercy	W	83-72	89%
Dec 05, 2018	169	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	77-78	37%
Dec 15, 2018	99	Marshall	L	77-83	42%
Dec 18, 2018	259	Tennessee St.	W	68-63	75%
Dec 22, 2018	7	@ Nevada	L	68-86	4%
Jan 05, 2019	211	Western Michigan	W	73-71	67%
Jan 08, 2019	219	@ Central Michigan	W	74-72	48%
Jan 12, 2019	186	@ Northern Illinois	W	72-71	41%
Jan 15, 2019	135	Eastern Michigan	L	65-68	49%
Jan 19, 2019	170	@ Miami (OH)	L	69-70	38%
Jan 22, 2019	219	Central Michigan	W	74-72	68%
Jan 26, 2019	186	Northern Illinois	W	72-71	60%
Feb 02, 2019	142	@ Ohio	L	73-76	33%
Feb 05, 2019	126	@ Toledo	L	73-77	30%
Feb 08, 2019	159	Kent St.	L	72-73	55%
Feb 12, 2019	65	Buffalo	L	74-83	31%
Feb 16, 2019	111	@ Ball St.	L	71-76	28%
Feb 19, 2019	205	@ Bowling Green	W	75-73	46%
Feb 23, 2019	170	Miami (OH)	L	69-70	57%
Feb 26, 2019	65	@ Buffalo	L	74-83	16%
Mar 02, 2019	142	Ohio	L	73-76	53%
Mar 05, 2019	205	Bowling Green	W	75-73	64%
Mar 08, 2019	159	@ Kent St.	L	72-73	36%
Projected Record						14.0 - 15.0	8.2 - 9.8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1		4.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	1.8	2.3	1.5	0.3	0.0				6.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	2.6	3.4	1.2	0.2	0.0					8.1	3rd
4th									0.1	0.6	2.9	3.5	1.2	0.2	0.0						8.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.8	4.2	1.5	0.1	0.0							8.9	5th
6th								0.3	2.6	4.3	2.0	0.2	0.0								9.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	2.0	4.9	2.4	0.2	0.0									9.6	7th
8th						0.2	1.6	4.5	3.1	0.4	0.0										9.8	8th
9th					0.1	1.3	4.2	3.0	0.6	0.0											9.2	9th
10th				0.2	1.3	3.9	3.3	1.0	0.0												9.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.4	3.1	2.7	0.7	0.1													8.4	11th
12th	0.2	1.1	1.9	2.1	1.5	0.5	0.0														7.3	12th

Total	0.2	1.1	2.2	3.8	6.1	8.5	10.0	10.9	11.5	10.6	10.2	8.3	6.8	4.4	3.1	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	97.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1
15-3	77.9%	1.1		0.7	0.4	0.0
14-4	43.1%	1.3		0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	17.2%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1
12-6	3.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.3%	4.3		2.2	1.6	0.4	0.1		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		99.5%	70.5%	28.9%	6.6				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0		98.2%
17-1	0.2%		90.4%	49.1%	41.3%	8.8					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		81.1%
16-2	0.6%		56.3%	27.3%	29.0%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.3		39.9%
15-3	1.4%		38.9%	26.7%	12.1%	11.6							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.9		16.6%
14-4	3.1%		18.2%	16.3%	2.0%	12.2										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		2.5		2.3%
13-5	4.4%		13.7%	13.0%	0.7%	12.9											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		3.8		0.8%
12-6	6.8%		9.3%	9.1%	0.2%	13.5											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	6.2		0.2%
11-7	8.3%		4.9%	4.9%	0.0%	14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	7.9		0.0%
10-8	10.2%		3.7%	3.7%		14.5														0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	9.8
9-9	10.6%		1.9%	1.9%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.4
8-10	11.5%		1.7%	1.7%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.3
7-11	10.9%		1.1%	1.1%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	10.8
6-12	10.0%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	9.9
5-13	8.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.5
4-14	6.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
3-15	3.8%																							3.8
2-16	2.2%																							2.2
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.4%	3.9%	0.6%	12.9				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.5	95.6		0.6%