Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
210 LIU Brooklyn 20.1%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 13 12 - 6 -3.0      -1.3 220 -1.7 213 76.0 35 0.0 1 0.0 1
248 St. Francis (PA) 14.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 14 11 - 7 -4.7      +0.1 174 -4.8 307 69.3 161 0.0 1 0.0 1
249 Sacred Heart 14.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 15 10 - 8 -4.8      -0.6 203 -4.2 291 77.7 22 0.0 1 0.0 1
252 Fairleigh Dickinson 13.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 14 10 - 8 -5.1      -1.2 213 -3.9 287 67.2 222 0.0 1 0.0 1
273 Robert Morris 9.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 10 - 8 -6.3      -5.5 317 -0.8 189 66.1 249 0.0 1 0.0 1
287 Mount St. Mary's 8.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 9 -7.1      -4.2 293 -2.9 254 68.2 194 0.0 1 0.0 1
293 St. Francis Brooklyn 6.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 16 9 - 9 -7.6      -5.0 309 -2.6 244 70.4 134 0.0 1 0.0 1
304 Merrimack 5.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 18 8 - 10 -8.3      -5.2 314 -3.1 257 70.0 144 0.0 1 0.0 1
314 Bryant 4.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 18 8 - 10 -9.1      -3.0 261 -6.1 336 69.4 159 0.0 1 0.0 1
331 Wagner 2.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 19 7 - 11 -11.3      -8.5 344 -2.8 253 61.7 331 0.0 1 0.0 1
342 Central Connecticut St. 1.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 22 5 - 13 -13.5      -6.8 336 -6.7 343 71.4 108 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
LIU Brooklyn 3.5 28.4 17.9 13.1 10.5 8.5 6.6 5.2 4.1 3.0 1.8 0.9
St. Francis (PA) 4.3 18.1 15.0 13.5 12.0 10.0 8.3 7.3 6.0 4.7 3.2 1.8
Sacred Heart 4.5 17.2 14.3 12.7 11.2 10.4 9.2 7.9 6.2 5.2 3.4 2.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.5 17.4 14.2 12.9 11.7 10.1 8.8 7.6 6.3 5.1 3.7 2.2
Robert Morris 5.0 12.2 11.7 12.1 11.2 10.5 10.0 9.2 8.2 6.7 5.2 3.0
Mount St. Mary's 5.6 9.0 9.6 10.3 10.4 10.7 10.0 10.1 9.4 8.7 7.3 4.4
St. Francis Brooklyn 5.9 8.1 8.3 9.7 10.0 10.3 10.1 9.9 10.1 9.6 8.4 5.5
Merrimack 6.2 6.1 7.4 8.3 9.7 9.7 10.8 11.0 10.9 10.6 9.3 6.4
Bryant 6.4 5.3 7.0 7.8 8.5 9.4 10.5 11.2 11.2 11.0 10.2 7.8
Wagner 7.7 2.2 3.5 4.7 5.7 7.0 8.4 10.0 11.5 13.5 16.3 17.1
Central Connecticut St. 8.7 0.8 1.6 2.2 3.2 4.3 6.0 7.8 10.3 14.3 20.0 29.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
LIU Brooklyn 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.8 4.7 6.0 7.7 9.5 11.1 12.0 12.2 10.7 9.0 6.2 3.5 1.0
St. Francis (PA) 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 3.2 5.0 6.3 8.1 9.8 11.4 11.9 11.2 10.0 8.4 5.9 3.5 1.7 0.5
Sacred Heart 10 - 8 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.3 5.3 6.7 8.5 10.7 11.0 11.2 10.7 9.9 7.8 5.5 3.4 1.5 0.4
Fairleigh Dickinson 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.3 5.0 6.8 8.6 10.0 10.9 11.5 11.2 9.5 8.0 5.8 3.4 1.5 0.5
Robert Morris 10 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.0 4.7 6.3 8.6 10.4 11.1 10.9 11.2 9.5 7.9 6.1 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.2
Mount St. Mary's 9 - 9 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.4 6.4 7.9 9.4 11.2 11.0 10.9 10.0 8.2 6.5 4.6 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
St. Francis Brooklyn 9 - 9 0.1 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.0 7.0 8.9 10.2 10.5 10.9 10.6 9.4 7.5 5.7 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
Merrimack 8 - 10 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.7 5.8 8.0 9.5 11.0 11.5 11.3 10.0 8.7 6.8 5.0 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0
Bryant 8 - 10 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.1 6.6 8.3 10.1 11.2 11.5 10.9 9.5 7.5 6.3 4.6 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
Wagner 7 - 11 0.9 3.1 5.9 8.2 10.1 11.8 11.5 10.9 10.3 8.5 6.7 4.6 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 5 - 13 2.5 6.1 9.7 12.0 13.3 12.9 12.0 9.6 7.4 5.4 3.8 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 28.4% 19.6 6.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 18.1% 11.9 4.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 17.2% 11.4 4.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.4% 11.4 4.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris 12.2% 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 9.0% 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 8.1% 4.7 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Merrimack 6.1% 3.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bryant 5.3% 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Wagner 2.2% 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 0.8% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 20.1% 20.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.2 5.9 9.0 79.9 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.9 8.0 85.7 0.0%
Sacred Heart 14.0% 14.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.3 8.6 86.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 13.2% 13.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 7.8 86.9 0.0%
Robert Morris 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 6.9 90.4 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 5.4 91.9 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.0 93.1 0.0%
Merrimack 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 4.7 94.1 0.0%
Bryant 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.8 95.5 0.0%
Wagner 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1 97.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 99.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 20.1% 5.3% 17.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 14.3% 5.1% 11.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 14.0% 5.9% 11.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 13.2% 5.2% 10.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 9.6% 4.9% 7.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 8.1% 3.9% 6.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.9% 3.7% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 5.9% 3.7% 4.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 4.5% 3.1% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 2.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 78.8% 0.8 21.2 78.8 0.0
2nd Round 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0