IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.3	#220
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.6	#58
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#259

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.5	#180

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.2%	6.7%	3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.5	14.2

.500 or above	35.5%	57.2%	30.3%
.500 or above in Conference	45.3%	59.9%	41.8%
Conference Champion	4.6%	7.9%	3.8%
Last Place in Conference	11.2%	5.5%	12.5%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	4.1%	6.6%	3.5%
Second Round	0.4%	0.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 5	14 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	125	@ Missouri St.	L	67-76	19%
Nov 10, 2019	187	@ Illinois St.	L	69-73	34%
Nov 17, 2019	284	@ Central Arkansas	W	79-78	52%
Nov 20, 2019	26	@ Memphis	L	73-92	5%
Nov 23, 2019	22	@ North Carolina St.	L	71-90	5%
Nov 26, 2019	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	76-69	74%
Nov 27, 2019	345	Alcorn St.	W	77-64	89%
Nov 30, 2019	71	East Tennessee St.	L	70-78	26%
Dec 07, 2019	152	@ North Texas	L	65-72	28%
Dec 10, 2019	272	Tennessee St.	W	78-72	70%
Dec 19, 2019	223	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	72-75	40%
Dec 21, 2019	202	@ Louisiana	L	78-82	38%
Jan 02, 2020	156	Texas St.	L	68-69	48%
Jan 04, 2020	135	Texas Arlington	L	70-72	43%
Jan 06, 2020	122	Georgia Southern	L	79-82	39%
Jan 09, 2020	297	@ Troy	W	73-72	55%
Jan 11, 2020	138	South Alabama	L	72-74	45%
Jan 16, 2020	172	@ Coastal Carolina	L	73-79	32%
Jan 18, 2020	212	@ Appalachian St.	L	78-81	39%
Jan 22, 2020	297	Troy	W	76-69	73%
Jan 25, 2020	138	@ South Alabama	L	69-77	27%
Jan 30, 2020	172	Coastal Carolina	W	77-76	52%
Feb 01, 2020	212	Appalachian St.	W	81-78	59%
Feb 08, 2020	271	Arkansas St.	W	78-72	68%
Feb 13, 2020	156	@ Texas St.	L	65-72	30%
Feb 15, 2020	135	@ Texas Arlington	L	67-75	26%
Feb 22, 2020	271	@ Arkansas St.	L	75-76	50%
Feb 27, 2020	223	Louisiana Monroe	W	75-72	60%
Feb 29, 2020	202	Louisiana	W	81-79	57%
Mar 03, 2020	162	@ Georgia St.	L	73-79	30%
Projected Record						13 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.2	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		4.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.2	2.1	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.0				6.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.7	2.7	1.7	0.6	0.1						7.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	2.1	3.2	1.9	0.4	0.1							8.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.5	4.2	1.9	0.4	0.0								9.4	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	2.2	4.3	2.1	0.4	0.0									9.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.0	4.3	2.4	0.4	0.0										9.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.2	4.2	2.7	0.5	0.0											9.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.9	4.2	3.0	0.6	0.0												10.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.6	2.2	3.7	2.7	0.6	0.0	0.0												9.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.0	2.5	2.8	1.7	0.4	0.0														8.7	11th
12th	0.2	0.7	1.4	2.0	1.8	1.0	0.3	0.0															7.4	12th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.7	3.1	4.9	6.3	7.9	9.7	10.0	10.2	10.1	9.2	7.5	6.4	4.8	3.5	2.0	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	90.7%	0.5		0.5	0.0
17-3	77.0%	0.8		0.7	0.2	0.0
16-4	61.4%	1.2		0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
15-5	32.4%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
14-6	11.9%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0				0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.6%	4.6		2.7	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		48.3%	29.9%	18.4%	9.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		26.2%
19-1	0.2%		47.7%	43.4%	4.3%	11.3					0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		7.7%
18-2	0.5%		41.5%	38.7%	2.8%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		4.6%
17-3	1.1%		38.3%	37.6%	0.7%	13.1												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7		1.1%
16-4	2.0%		29.2%	28.8%	0.4%	13.6												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.4		0.6%
15-5	3.5%		19.9%	19.9%		13.8													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	2.8
14-6	4.8%		15.9%	15.9%		14.2													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	4.1
13-7	6.4%		8.0%	8.0%		14.5														0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	5.9
12-8	7.5%		4.6%	4.6%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	7.1
11-9	9.2%		2.9%	2.9%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	8.9
10-10	10.1%		1.2%	1.2%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.9
9-11	10.2%		1.0%	1.0%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.1
8-12	10.0%		0.2%	0.2%		15.7																0.0	0.0	10.0
7-13	9.7%		0.0%	0.0%		15.6																0.0	0.0	9.7
6-14	7.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
5-15	6.3%																							6.3
4-16	4.9%																							4.9
3-17	3.1%																							3.1
2-18	1.7%																							1.7
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.2%	4.1%	0.0%	14.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.2	1.2	0.4	95.8		0.0%