IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.7	#344
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.2	#298
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.3	#315

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-8.4	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.8%	0.7%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	8.3%	31.0%	8.2%
.500 or above in Conference	17.2%	39.1%	17.1%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	31.3%	7.8%	31.4%

First Four	0.6%	0.2%	0.6%
First Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 7
Quad 4	8 - 14	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	53	@ Missouri	L	54-80	1%
Nov 08, 2019	214	@ Northern Colorado	L	61-75	11%
Nov 16, 2019	324	SIU Edwardsville	L	73-74	49%
Nov 22, 2019	326	Bethune-Cookman	L	73-74	50%
Nov 24, 2019	255	Eastern Illinois	L	68-73	31%
Dec 01, 2019	285	@ Portland	L	64-74	19%
Dec 03, 2019	168	@ Seattle	L	61-77	8%
Dec 18, 2019	284	@ Central Arkansas	L	70-80	20%
Dec 21, 2019	157	@ Washington St.	L	67-84	7%
Jan 02, 2020	309	@ Nicholls St.	L	69-77	24%
Jan 08, 2020	347	Northwestern St.	W	71-68	62%
Jan 11, 2020	243	New Orleans	L	67-73	30%
Jan 15, 2020	316	@ McNeese St.	L	66-73	27%
Jan 18, 2020	290	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	65-74	21%
Jan 22, 2020	281	Lamar	L	69-73	37%
Jan 25, 2020	291	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	64-67	39%
Jan 29, 2020	292	@ Houston Baptist	L	76-85	22%
Feb 01, 2020	286	@ Abilene Christian	L	61-71	21%
Feb 05, 2020	186	Sam Houston St.	L	65-74	23%
Feb 08, 2020	299	SE Louisiana	L	65-68	40%
Feb 12, 2020	347	@ Northwestern St.	L	68-71	42%
Feb 15, 2020	243	@ New Orleans	L	64-76	16%
Feb 19, 2020	316	McNeese St.	L	69-70	46%
Feb 22, 2020	290	Stephen F. Austin	L	68-71	39%
Feb 26, 2020	281	@ Lamar	L	66-76	21%
Feb 29, 2020	291	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	61-70	21%
Mar 04, 2020	292	Houston Baptist	L	79-82	39%
Mar 07, 2020	286	Abilene Christian	L	64-68	38%
Projected Record						8 - 20	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0					1.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0							2.7	4th
5th										0.1	0.8	1.6	1.0	0.1	0.0								3.6	5th
6th									0.1	0.7	2.2	1.2	0.2	0.0									4.4	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	2.4	2.1	0.3	0.0										5.5	7th
8th							0.0	0.7	2.4	3.1	0.7	0.0											7.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	2.9	3.7	1.1	0.1	0.0											8.6	9th
10th					0.1	0.9	3.2	4.3	1.9	0.1													10.6	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.1	4.9	2.3	0.3	0.0													13.3	11th
12th		0.1	0.9	2.8	5.5	5.1	2.5	0.3	0.0														17.3	12th
13th	1.4	4.1	6.1	5.9	4.0	1.3	0.2	0.0															23.0	13th

Total	1.4	4.2	6.9	9.0	11.1	11.5	11.5	10.7	9.0	7.4	6.1	4.0	2.8	1.9	1.2	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	96.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	91.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	52.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	41.4%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0			0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
18-2	0.1%		27.3%	27.3%		14.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	0.1%		30.4%	30.4%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-4	0.4%		31.6%	31.6%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2
15-5	0.7%		19.1%	19.1%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.5
14-6	1.2%		14.3%	14.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	1.0
13-7	1.9%		5.9%	5.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	1.8
12-8	2.8%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.1	2.7
11-9	4.0%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	3.9
10-10	6.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
9-11	7.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
8-12	9.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.0
7-13	10.7%																							10.7
6-14	11.5%																							11.5
5-15	11.5%																							11.5
4-16	11.1%																							11.1
3-17	9.0%																							9.0
2-18	6.9%																							6.9
1-19	4.2%																							4.2
0-20	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		0.8%	0.8%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	99.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%