Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeast
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
178 Bryant 0.0%   14 - 6 10 - 4 14 - 6 10 - 4 -0.7      +0.5 160 -1.2 205 81.6 6 -0.7 174 -2.2 3
203 Mount St. Mary's 100.0%   16   13 - 9 10 - 6 13 - 9 10 - 6 -3.1      -4.9 286 +1.9 117 58.5 345 -3.0 207 -5.4 5
214 Wagner 0.0%   13 - 7 13 - 5 13 - 7 13 - 5 -3.5      -0.1 178 -3.4 264 63.6 303 -2.4 198 -1.2 2
253 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9 -5.9      -5.1 290 -0.8 196 79.7 14 -6.8 263 -6.8 8
263 Merrimack 0.0%   9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9 -6.8      -7.4 319 +0.6 155 64.2 295 -6.8 262 -6.8 7
271 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   9 - 15 8 - 10 9 - 15 8 - 10 -7.4      -0.3 181 -7.0 328 74.2 71 -7.8 280 -7.6 9
283 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0%   9 - 10 9 - 9 9 - 10 9 - 9 -8.0      -0.4 184 -7.5 335 77.7 26 -7.0 267 -6.4 6
287 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   6 - 16 5 - 13 6 - 16 5 - 13 -8.3      -4.8 281 -3.6 270 69.9 153 -11.0 317 -12.2 10
296 Robert Morris 0.0%   3 - 15 0 - 0 3 - 15 0 - 0 -8.7      -2.4 241 -6.2 313 66.4 241 -12.1 323 0.0 1
304 Sacred Heart 0.0%   9 - 9 9 - 7 9 - 9 9 - 7 -9.3      -1.8 225 -7.5 334 65.9 255 -5.4 235 -5.1 4
334 Central Connecticut St. 0.0%   4 - 17 4 - 14 4 - 17 4 - 14 -13.5      -7.2 316 -6.3 315 74.4 65 -13.4 328 -13.1 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Bryant 2.0 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 2.0 100.0
Wagner 1.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 4.0 100.0
Merrimack 4.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8.0 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 9.0 100.0
Robert Morris 11.0 100.0
Sacred Heart 4.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bryant 10 - 8 100.0
Mount St. Mary's 10 - 8 100.0
Wagner 13 - 5 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 9 100.0
Merrimack 9 - 9 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 10 100.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 9 - 9 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 13 100.0
Robert Morris 0 - 18 100.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 9 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bryant
Mount St. Mary's
Wagner 100.0% 100.0
LIU Brooklyn
Merrimack
Fairleigh Dickinson
St. Francis Brooklyn
St. Francis (PA)
Robert Morris
Sacred Heart
Central Connecticut St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 30.3 69.7
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bryant 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 100.0% 31.6% 83.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 83.1% 0.8 17.0 83.1
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0