Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
51 Colgate 100.0%   11   14 - 1 11 - 1 14 - 1 11 - 1 +10.4      +8.3 16 +2.1 109 75.8 46 +10.8 48 +10.2 1
141 Navy 0.0%   15 - 3 12 - 1 15 - 3 12 - 1 +1.2      +1.2 135 0.0 172 65.4 263 +7.5 80 +8.3 2
181 Army 0.0%   11 - 9 7 - 7 11 - 9 7 - 7 -0.8      -2.0 230 +1.2 138 70.5 143 +1.4 146 +0.8 3
190 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   6 - 11 4 - 10 6 - 11 4 - 10 -2.1      -3.0 250 +0.9 148 68.5 190 -7.0 266 -10.3 10
207 Boston University 0.0%   7 - 11 6 - 10 7 - 11 6 - 10 -3.3      +0.2 170 -3.5 267 64.3 292 -3.7 219 -3.8 6
242 American 0.0%   4 - 6 4 - 5 4 - 6 4 - 5 -5.2      -2.8 249 -2.3 237 66.9 230 -3.2 210 -2.5 5
243 Lafayette 0.0%   9 - 6 9 - 5 9 - 6 9 - 5 -5.2      +1.6 126 -6.8 325 69.7 159 -3.6 218 -2.2 4
246 Holy Cross 0.0%   5 - 11 5 - 11 5 - 11 5 - 11 -5.3      -1.3 208 -4.1 284 69.7 158 -6.5 258 -6.5 7
259 Bucknell 0.0%   5 - 7 4 - 6 5 - 7 4 - 6 -6.2      -2.2 233 -4.0 283 76.2 39 -7.1 269 -8.9 8
316 Lehigh 0.0%   4 - 11 4 - 10 4 - 11 4 - 10 -10.9      -7.3 318 -3.6 273 72.0 102 -9.3 301 -9.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 2.0 100.0
Navy 1.0 100.0
Army 4.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 7.0 100.0
Boston University 5.0 100.0
American 7.0 100.0
Lafayette 3.0 100.0
Holy Cross 6.0 100.0
Bucknell 7.0 100.0
Lehigh 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Colgate 11 - 5 100.0
Navy 12 - 4 100.0
Army 7 - 9 100.0
Loyola Maryland 4 - 12 100.0
Boston University 6 - 10 100.0
American 4 - 12 100.0
Lafayette 9 - 7 100.0
Holy Cross 5 - 11 100.0
Bucknell 4 - 12 100.0
Lehigh 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate
Navy 100.0% 100.0
Army
Loyola Maryland
Boston University
American
Lafayette
Holy Cross
Bucknell
Lehigh


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11   0.0 0.0 0.6 4.8 31.2 50.4 12.6 0.2
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 36.0% 12.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 36.0% 0.4 64.0 36.0
Sweet Sixteen 12.1% 0.1 87.9 12.1
Elite Eight 3.6% 0.0 96.4 3.6
Final Four 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0