Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Alabama 100.0%   2   24 - 6 16 - 2 24 - 6 16 - 2 +17.8      +6.9 33 +10.9 1 81.4 7 +17.4 7 +22.3 1
12 Arkansas 100.0%   3   22 - 6 13 - 4 22 - 6 13 - 4 +15.1      +6.8 34 +8.3 13 79.1 18 +16.3 10 +17.6 2
21 Tennessee 99.9%   6   18 - 8 10 - 7 18 - 8 10 - 7 +14.5      +4.8 63 +9.7 5 66.6 237 +13.5 28 +11.8 4
29 LSU 99.9%   6   18 - 9 11 - 6 18 - 9 11 - 6 +13.6      +12.1 5 +1.5 127 73.6 79 +13.6 26 +14.2 3
34 Florida 97.5%   9   14 - 9 9 - 7 14 - 9 9 - 7 +12.4      +6.3 40 +6.1 34 69.4 171 +12.5 38 +11.7 5
46 Kentucky 0.0%   9 - 16 8 - 9 9 - 16 8 - 9 +10.7      +4.6 69 +6.1 35 68.7 186 +7.0 84 +10.6 8
48 Mississippi 17.4%   16 - 11 10 - 8 16 - 11 10 - 8 +10.6      +3.4 94 +7.2 25 63.2 306 +9.2 63 +10.7 7
52 Missouri 100.0%   7   16 - 9 8 - 8 16 - 9 8 - 8 +10.1      +5.4 53 +4.8 58 69.6 161 +13.3 32 +10.9 6
60 Auburn 0.0%   13 - 14 7 - 11 13 - 14 7 - 11 +9.3      +6.5 38 +2.8 97 74.8 61 +8.3 73 +7.7 11
71 Mississippi St. 0.0%   15 - 14 8 - 10 15 - 14 8 - 10 +8.1      +3.2 101 +4.9 54 64.2 296 +7.5 78 +8.0 9
89 Vanderbilt 0.0%   9 - 16 3 - 13 9 - 16 3 - 13 +6.3      +4.8 61 +1.4 128 69.6 163 +3.6 114 +2.1 14
92 Georgia 0.0%   13 - 12 7 - 11 13 - 12 7 - 11 +5.7      +4.0 83 +1.7 121 79.6 15 +7.9 75 +7.7 10
122 South Carolina 0.0%   6 - 15 4 - 12 6 - 15 4 - 12 +3.2      +1.2 137 +2.0 113 82.4 3 +3.1 126 +3.3 12
133 Texas A&M 0.0%   8 - 10 2 - 8 8 - 10 2 - 8 +2.2      0.0 173 +2.2 105 62.6 318 +3.3 123 +2.5 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Alabama 1.0 100.0
Arkansas 2.0 100.0
Tennessee 4.0 100.0
LSU 3.0 100.0
Florida 6.0 100.0
Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Mississippi 4.0 100.0
Missouri 7.0 100.0
Auburn 10.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 7.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 13.0 100.0
Georgia 10.0 100.0
South Carolina 12.0 100.0
Texas A&M 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Alabama 16 - 2 100.0
Arkansas 13 - 5 100.0
Tennessee 10 - 8 100.0
LSU 11 - 7 100.0
Florida 9 - 9 100.0
Kentucky 8 - 10 100.0
Mississippi 10 - 8 100.0
Missouri 8 - 10 100.0
Auburn 7 - 11 100.0
Mississippi St. 8 - 10 100.0
Vanderbilt 3 - 15 100.0
Georgia 7 - 11 100.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 100.0
Texas A&M 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Alabama 100.0% 100.0
Arkansas
Tennessee
LSU
Florida
Kentucky
Mississippi
Missouri
Auburn
Mississippi St.
Vanderbilt
Georgia
South Carolina
Texas A&M


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Alabama 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   49.7 49.1 1.1 0.0
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.2 36.7 43.0 16.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 6   0.2 1.9 20.6 46.3 25.4 5.1 0.4 0.1 99.9%
LSU 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 6   0.0 0.6 3.9 21.9 38.4 27.9 6.6 0.6 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Florida 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 9   0.0 1.0 6.9 35.1 43.5 10.8 0.2 2.5 97.5%
Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 17.4% 0.0% 17.4% 0.0 0.4 7.3 9.5 0.2 82.6 17.4%
Missouri 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7   0.7 9.7 45.1 39.8 4.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.9% 66.2% 42.8% 22.0% 9.4% 3.4%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 86.6% 51.2% 23.3% 8.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Tennessee 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 67.3% 32.8% 13.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4%
LSU 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 64.5% 28.9% 10.9% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Florida 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 46.8% 10.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 17.4% 14.5% 10.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 45.1% 10.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vanderbilt 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.1 0.0 2.1 81.2 16.8
1st Round 100.0% 6.1 0.0 2.3 87.8 9.9
2nd Round 100.0% 4.1 0.0 0.6 5.4 21.2 36.9 28.3 7.4 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 95.1% 2.0 4.9 25.2 40.4 23.3 5.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
Elite Eight 72.1% 1.0 27.9 48.3 20.5 3.0 0.2 0.0
Final Four 37.7% 0.4 62.3 33.8 3.7 0.1
Final Game 15.5% 0.2 84.5 15.1 0.3
Champion 5.1% 0.1 94.9 5.1