Preseason Rankings
America East
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
116 Vermont 38.1%   15   0 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 9 14 - 4 +3.8      +1.6 126 +2.2 111 65.2 278 0.0 1 0.0 1
188 Stony Brook 15.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 13 11 - 7 -1.1      -1.9 241 +0.8 146 66.0 262 0.0 1 0.0 1
213 Hartford 11.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 17 - 14 10 - 8 -2.6      -3.0 264 +0.3 166 67.0 238 0.0 1 0.0 1
229 Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 15 10 - 8 -3.7      -2.8 259 -0.9 200 68.8 194 0.0 1 0.0 1
241 New Hampshire 7.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 9 -4.5      -3.4 277 -1.1 212 65.8 268 0.0 1 0.0 1
244 Albany 7.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 17 9 - 9 -4.6      -3.6 283 -1.0 206 71.3 124 0.0 1 0.0 1
258 Umass Lowell 6.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 16 9 - 9 -5.3      -1.8 237 -3.5 287 71.4 121 0.0 1 0.0 1
293 NJIT 3.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 18 8 - 10 -7.1      -4.6 311 -2.5 251 68.8 195 0.0 1 0.0 1
327 Binghamton 1.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 18 6 - 12 -10.0      -4.3 302 -5.7 328 65.1 285 0.0 1 0.0 1
337 Maine 1.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 19 5 - 13 -11.7      -10.1 352 -1.6 231 62.9 321 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Vermont 2.2 50.1 20.5 11.2 7.0 4.6 2.9 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
Stony Brook 3.8 18.6 18.7 15.8 12.7 10.4 8.4 6.2 4.6 3.0 1.5
Hartford 4.4 12.7 15.3 14.7 13.7 11.6 10.1 8.3 6.4 4.7 2.6
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.8 9.8 13.1 13.4 13.0 12.6 11.0 9.8 8.2 5.9 3.3
New Hampshire 5.1 8.0 11.1 11.9 12.4 12.2 11.9 10.7 9.7 7.5 4.6
Albany 5.2 7.7 10.8 11.9 12.6 12.2 12.0 11.0 9.6 7.5 4.6
Umass Lowell 5.4 6.5 9.7 10.8 11.6 12.2 12.2 11.6 10.6 8.9 5.8
NJIT 6.2 3.7 6.3 8.1 10.0 11.0 12.1 13.2 13.5 12.3 9.9
Binghamton 7.3 1.3 2.9 4.3 5.8 7.9 9.9 12.5 15.9 19.2 20.2
Maine 7.9 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.1 5.7 8.0 11.1 15.1 21.3 29.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vermont 14 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 5.1 7.2 9.0 11.5 13.3 14.1 13.5 11.0 6.0
Stony Brook 11 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.7 4.0 5.7 7.4 8.8 9.8 11.1 11.5 10.4 9.4 7.3 5.1 2.8 0.9
Hartford 10 - 8 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.7 4.1 5.5 7.3 8.7 9.8 10.8 10.9 10.3 9.3 7.3 5.1 3.4 1.5 0.5
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.5 5.2 6.8 8.5 9.8 10.5 10.7 10.3 9.4 7.8 5.9 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.3
New Hampshire 9 - 9 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.6 6.3 8.1 9.1 10.2 10.6 10.3 9.5 8.3 6.7 4.9 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.2
Albany 9 - 9 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.0 4.5 6.4 8.0 9.3 10.3 10.5 10.2 9.7 8.4 6.5 4.8 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
Umass Lowell 9 - 9 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.7 5.3 7.3 8.7 9.8 10.7 10.5 9.8 8.7 7.4 5.8 4.2 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.1
NJIT 8 - 10 0.6 1.9 3.7 5.7 7.8 9.4 10.4 10.7 10.5 9.7 8.6 7.0 5.5 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
Binghamton 6 - 12 2.0 4.8 7.6 10.3 11.4 11.9 11.3 10.4 8.5 7.0 5.2 3.7 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maine 5 - 13 3.9 7.8 10.8 12.3 12.7 12.2 10.6 9.0 6.7 5.0 3.6 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 50.1% 39.6 8.8 1.4 0.2 0.0
Stony Brook 18.6% 12.6 4.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
Hartford 12.7% 8.3 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.8% 6.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 8.0% 4.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
Albany 7.7% 4.8 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 6.5% 3.9 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
NJIT 3.7% 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 1.3% 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maine 0.7% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 38.1% 37.3% 0.8% 15   0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.6 5.6 9.4 8.7 6.3 3.4 61.9 1.2%
Stony Brook 15.2% 15.1% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.5 3.8 4.1 3.3 84.8 0.1%
Hartford 11.3% 11.2% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.5 88.7 0.1%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.2% 9.2% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.5 3.3 90.8 0.1%
New Hampshire 7.5% 7.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.2 92.5 0.0%
Albany 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 3.0 92.9 0.0%
Umass Lowell 6.2% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.8 93.8 0.0%
NJIT 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 96.2 0.0%
Binghamton 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 98.4 0.0%
Maine 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 99.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 38.1% 1.9% 37.2% 7.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 15.2% 1.7% 14.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 11.3% 1.9% 10.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9.2% 1.9% 8.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 7.5% 1.9% 6.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 7.1% 1.8% 6.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 6.2% 1.6% 5.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 3.8% 1.3% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.6% 0.8% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.9 1.1 0.0
1st Round 92.9% 0.9 7.1 92.1 0.7 0.0
2nd Round 11.6% 0.1 88.4 11.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2 0.0
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0