Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
256 Morgan St. 36.3%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 11 10 - 4 -5.3      -1.2 217 -4.1 297 75.8 50 0.0 1 0.0 1
291 Norfolk St. 27.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 10 - 4 -7.0      -4.9 318 -2.1 241 68.3 201 0.0 1 0.0 1
332 Howard 12.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 6 -11.2      -2.8 261 -8.4 351 77.0 33 0.0 1 0.0 1
336 Coppin St. 11.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 21 8 - 6 -11.6      -6.7 342 -5.0 313 88.6 1 0.0 1 0.0 1
339 NC Central 9.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 15 7 - 7 -12.5      -7.3 344 -5.2 315 65.1 282 0.0 1 0.0 1
352 South Carolina St. 1.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 21 5 - 9 -18.5      -8.9 349 -9.5 353 77.0 32 0.0 1 0.0 1
354 Delaware St. 1.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 19 4 - 10 -19.2      -7.4 345 -11.8 357 79.8 14 0.0 1 0.0 1
356 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 4 - 21 4 - 10 -21.3      -14.7 358 -6.6 340 69.3 177 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Morgan St. 2.1 46.0 23.9 14.2 8.2 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.3
Norfolk St. 2.5 34.3 25.2 16.9 11.2 6.7 3.5 1.7 0.6
Howard 3.6 14.1 17.6 19.5 17.7 14.0 9.4 5.4 2.3
Coppin St. 3.8 12.6 16.3 18.5 17.8 15.3 10.5 6.1 2.8
NC Central 4.0 10.5 14.4 17.3 18.0 16.6 12.1 7.6 3.6
South Carolina St. 5.7 1.9 3.8 6.9 10.8 15.8 20.9 22.2 17.7
Delaware St. 5.9 1.5 3.3 6.1 9.6 14.6 20.2 23.6 21.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 6.5 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.7 11.1 17.8 25.4 33.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Morgan St. 10 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.1 5.5 8.2 11.4 14.5 16.4 16.7 13.7 7.1
Norfolk St. 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.1 5.0 7.6 10.5 13.2 15.3 15.4 13.5 9.5 4.0
Howard 8 - 6 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.3 8.0 10.8 12.6 14.2 13.5 11.8 8.8 6.0 2.9 0.8
Coppin St. 8 - 6 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.8 6.1 8.9 11.5 13.2 13.6 12.9 11.0 8.1 5.0 2.5 0.7
NC Central 7 - 7 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.7 7.4 9.9 12.3 13.7 13.4 12.0 9.6 6.9 4.1 1.8 0.5
South Carolina St. 5 - 9 2.7 6.9 11.3 13.8 15.0 14.3 11.8 9.2 6.6 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0
Delaware St. 4 - 10 3.5 8.6 12.6 14.9 15.0 13.8 11.0 8.1 5.7 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 10 6.9 13.6 16.6 16.6 14.3 11.5 8.3 5.6 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Morgan St. 46.0% 33.9 10.1 1.8 0.2 0.0
Norfolk St. 34.3% 23.7 8.8 1.7 0.2 0.0
Howard 14.1% 8.5 4.4 1.1 0.1 0.0
Coppin St. 12.6% 7.5 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0
NC Central 10.5% 6.0 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0
South Carolina St. 1.9% 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 1.5% 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Morgan St. 36.3% 36.3% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.7 31.0 63.7 0.0%
Norfolk St. 27.0% 27.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 24.0 73.0 0.0%
Howard 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.9 87.5 0.0%
Coppin St. 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.8 88.8 0.0%
NC Central 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.8 90.9 0.0%
South Carolina St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Delaware St. 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Morgan St. 36.3% 26.1% 23.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 27.0% 20.7% 15.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 12.5% 11.1% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 11.2% 10.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 9.1% 8.3% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 1.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 55.4% 0.6 44.6 55.4
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0