Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
206 Bryant 24.7%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 13 12 - 6 -2.1      +0.8 152 -2.9 263 83.3 3 0.0 1 0.0 1
228 Wagner 18.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 13 11 - 7 -3.6      -0.5 191 -3.1 272 63.4 315 0.0 1 0.0 1
234 Merrimack 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 15 11 - 7 -3.9      -4.9 316 +1.0 140 64.3 300 0.0 1 0.0 1
242 Mount St. Mary's 14.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 15 10 - 8 -4.6      -4.1 297 -0.5 192 57.8 356 0.0 1 0.0 1
254 LIU Brooklyn 13.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 14 10 - 8 -5.2      -2.9 263 -2.3 245 79.9 12 0.0 1 0.0 1
283 St. Francis (PA) 10.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 9 -6.6      -2.3 250 -4.3 303 70.0 153 0.0 1 0.0 1
288 Sacred Heart 9.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 9 - 9 -6.9      -2.0 244 -4.9 308 65.6 270 0.0 1 0.0 1
320 St. Francis Brooklyn 5.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 18 7 - 11 -9.2      -3.1 268 -6.2 335 77.9 25 0.0 1 0.0 1
323 Fairleigh Dickinson 4.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 20 7 - 11 -9.9      -2.0 245 -7.8 350 74.3 70 0.0 1 0.0 1
346 Central Connecticut St. 1.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 24 5 - 13 -14.1      -6.4 340 -7.7 349 74.6 66 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Bryant 3.4 27.7 18.4 13.9 11.1 8.8 7.1 5.3 3.9 2.5 1.3
Wagner 4.0 19.4 16.0 14.0 12.3 10.3 8.7 7.3 5.9 4.0 2.0
Merrimack 4.1 18.6 15.8 13.6 12.1 10.6 9.2 7.8 5.9 4.2 2.2
Mount St. Mary's 4.4 15.7 14.4 13.2 12.1 11.2 9.9 8.7 7.0 5.1 2.7
LIU Brooklyn 4.6 13.5 13.0 12.6 11.9 11.6 10.7 9.1 7.9 6.1 3.5
St. Francis (PA) 5.2 9.4 10.2 11.1 11.4 11.6 11.1 11.0 10.2 8.5 5.6
Sacred Heart 5.4 8.3 9.8 10.9 11.0 11.5 11.9 11.3 10.7 8.9 5.8
St. Francis Brooklyn 6.3 4.3 5.9 7.2 8.8 9.8 11.5 13.0 14.2 14.0 11.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.6 3.6 5.0 6.6 8.0 9.5 11.2 12.6 14.8 16.0 12.9
Central Connecticut St. 8.2 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.4 4.8 6.7 9.7 14.0 21.1 35.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bryant 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.1 4.5 6.0 7.8 9.2 10.3 10.9 11.3 10.6 9.1 6.9 4.0 1.6
Wagner 11 - 7 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.4 4.8 6.1 7.9 8.9 10.4 10.7 10.6 10.1 8.6 6.3 4.6 2.4 0.9
Merrimack 11 - 7 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.4 5.1 6.7 8.1 9.1 10.5 10.5 10.2 9.7 8.4 6.3 4.4 2.3 0.7
Mount St. Mary's 10 - 8 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.9 4.1 5.9 7.5 8.7 9.8 10.3 10.3 10.1 9.1 7.3 5.4 3.5 1.6 0.6
LIU Brooklyn 10 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.4 5.0 6.4 7.9 9.3 10.3 10.4 10.2 9.3 8.0 6.5 4.8 3.0 1.4 0.4
St. Francis (PA) 9 - 9 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.3 5.0 6.4 8.2 9.1 10.2 10.1 10.1 9.3 8.0 6.3 4.8 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.2
Sacred Heart 9 - 9 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.2 6.8 8.6 9.7 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.0 7.8 6.1 4.4 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
St. Francis Brooklyn 7 - 11 0.7 2.2 4.2 6.3 8.1 9.7 10.7 10.9 10.3 9.3 7.9 6.5 5.1 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 7 - 11 0.9 2.6 4.9 7.2 9.4 10.3 10.9 10.5 10.2 8.9 7.4 5.8 4.4 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 5 - 13 4.5 9.1 12.1 13.4 13.2 11.6 10.0 7.7 6.1 4.4 3.1 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bryant 27.7% 19.8 6.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Wagner 19.4% 13.4 4.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Merrimack 18.6% 12.8 4.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 15.7% 10.5 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 13.5% 9.0 3.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 9.4% 6.1 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 8.3% 5.3 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.3% 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 3.6% 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 0.7% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bryant 24.7% 24.6% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.0 6.9 10.7 75.3 0.0%
Wagner 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 4.6 9.3 81.9 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 14.6% 14.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.0 7.3 85.4 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 7.7 86.7 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 6.5 89.8 0.0%
Sacred Heart 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.9 6.2 90.9 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 3.9 95.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.2 95.8 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 99.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bryant 24.7% 6.2% 21.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 18.1% 5.6% 15.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 14.6% 4.3% 12.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 13.3% 4.9% 10.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 10.2% 4.3% 8.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 9.1% 4.3% 7.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 5.0% 2.9% 3.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.2% 2.4% 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 82.7% 0.8 17.3 82.6 0.0
2nd Round 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0