Preseason Rankings
Bradley
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#157
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#290
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#174
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#162
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 11.7% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% 4.0% 0.5%
Average Seed 11.8 11.1 12.5
.500 or above 47.3% 73.3% 39.7%
.500 or above in Conference 42.3% 61.1% 36.8%
Conference Champion 4.3% 9.2% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 5.4% 15.6%
First Four0.7% 1.6% 0.4%
First Round5.1% 10.8% 3.4%
Second Round1.3% 3.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 34 - 56 - 13
Quad 48 - 214 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 99   @ South Dakota St. L 71-79 23%    
  Nov 13, 2021 332   Howard W 83-68 91%    
  Nov 19, 2021 51   Colorado St. L 66-75 21%    
  Nov 27, 2021 337   Maine W 70-55 90%    
  Dec 01, 2021 107   Northern Iowa L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 04, 2021 328   SIU Edwardsville W 76-62 88%    
  Dec 07, 2021 114   @ Toledo L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 18, 2021 193   Saint Joseph's W 77-72 66%    
  Dec 21, 2021 196   Sam Houston St. W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 29, 2021 165   Bellarmine W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 02, 2022 176   @ Indiana St. L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 05, 2022 96   Missouri St. L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 08, 2022 46   @ Loyola Chicago L 57-70 15%    
  Jan 12, 2022 198   Evansville W 66-61 66%    
  Jan 16, 2022 223   @ Illinois St. W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 19, 2022 73   @ Drake L 63-73 21%    
  Jan 22, 2022 140   Southern Illinois W 67-65 55%    
  Jan 26, 2022 189   @ Valparaiso L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 30, 2022 176   Indiana St. W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 02, 2022 107   @ Northern Iowa L 67-74 29%    
  Feb 05, 2022 198   @ Evansville L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 09, 2022 46   Loyola Chicago L 60-67 29%    
  Feb 12, 2022 73   Drake L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 15, 2022 140   @ Southern Illinois L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 19, 2022 223   Illinois St. W 73-66 70%    
  Feb 23, 2022 96   @ Missouri St. L 66-74 27%    
  Feb 26, 2022 189   Valparaiso W 71-66 64%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.0 3.1 1.0 0.1 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.8 3.2 0.7 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.5 5.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.0 5.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.7 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.4 1.5 2.5 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 8.5 10th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.2 5.0 7.0 9.1 10.0 10.7 10.6 10.1 9.0 7.3 5.8 4.2 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 90.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 70.5% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1
14-4 39.4% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.6% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 91.7% 36.7% 55.0% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.8%
17-1 0.3% 82.8% 43.3% 39.5% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 69.7%
16-2 0.9% 72.1% 37.0% 35.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 55.8%
15-3 1.7% 48.0% 29.4% 18.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 26.3%
14-4 2.9% 29.5% 21.2% 8.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.5%
13-5 4.2% 18.0% 14.7% 3.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5 3.9%
12-6 5.8% 9.9% 9.1% 0.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.2 0.9%
11-7 7.3% 6.5% 6.3% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.9 0.2%
10-8 9.0% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.6 0.0%
9-9 10.1% 2.6% 2.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.9
8-10 10.6% 1.4% 1.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.5
7-11 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 10.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
5-13 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.0
3-15 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 5.4% 4.2% 1.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 94.6 1.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 33.3 33.3 33.3
Lose Out 0.0%