IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Campbell
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.9	#200
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.5	#339
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#207

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.4%	21.1%	11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.4	15.2

.500 or above	73.1%	86.1%	58.7%
.500 or above in Conference	82.6%	89.4%	75.0%
Conference Champion	20.6%	26.9%	13.6%
Last Place in Conference	1.5%	0.6%	2.5%

First Four	2.7%	2.4%	3.1%
First Round	15.1%	19.9%	9.7%
Second Round	1.3%	2.0%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Neutral) - 52.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 3	2 - 6
Quad 4	14 - 5	17 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	213	Hartford	W	66-65	53%
Nov 13, 2021	10	@ Duke	L	58-79	3%
Nov 18, 2021	118	@ Marshall	L	69-77	23%
Nov 24, 2021	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-53	97%
Nov 27, 2021	251	@ Stetson	W	68-67	51%
Dec 04, 2021	77	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	62-74	16%
Dec 15, 2021	245	Georgia Southern	W	68-62	68%
Dec 22, 2021	266	@ UNC Wilmington	W	71-70	52%
Dec 29, 2021	291	Norfolk St.	W	70-62	74%
Jan 02, 2022	302	Jacksonville	W	72-63	76%
Jan 05, 2022	252	UNC Asheville	W	73-67	69%
Jan 08, 2022	143	@ Winthrop	L	69-76	29%
Jan 12, 2022	335	Charleston Southern	W	75-62	84%
Jan 15, 2022	264	Radford	W	67-60	71%
Jan 19, 2022	249	@ Longwood	W	64-63	50%
Jan 22, 2022	286	@ N.C. A&T	W	71-69	56%
Jan 26, 2022	329	Hampton	W	77-65	82%
Jan 29, 2022	299	High Point	W	70-61	75%
Feb 02, 2022	319	@ Presbyterian	W	67-63	63%
Feb 05, 2022	343	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	72-64	74%
Feb 09, 2022	225	Gardner-Webb	W	69-64	64%
Feb 12, 2022	299	@ High Point	W	67-64	58%
Feb 16, 2022	264	@ Radford	W	64-63	52%
Feb 19, 2022	286	N.C. A&T	W	74-66	73%
Feb 23, 2022	329	@ Hampton	W	74-68	67%
Feb 26, 2022	249	Longwood	W	66-60	68%
Projected Record						16 - 10	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.4	2.2	5.0	6.3	4.8	1.8		20.6	1st
2nd										0.0	0.6	3.8	6.7	5.4	2.1	0.2			18.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.6	3.5	6.0	3.3	0.6	0.0				14.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	3.1	5.2	2.4	0.3	0.0					11.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.3	4.5	2.2	0.2							9.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.1	1.3	3.7	2.1	0.2								7.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.7	2.8	2.0	0.2									5.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	2.0	1.7	0.3										4.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.3	1.5	0.3	0.0										3.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.9	1.0	0.3	0.0											2.5	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0												1.6	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												0.7	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.9	3.1	4.6	6.3	8.6	10.6	11.7	12.8	12.5	11.1	8.4	5.1	1.8			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.8		1.8
15-1	95.3%	4.8		4.2	0.7
14-2	75.1%	6.3		4.1	2.0	0.2
13-3	45.4%	5.0		2.3	2.2	0.5	0.0
12-4	17.7%	2.2		0.5	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0
11-5	3.3%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	20.6%	20.6		12.9	5.9	1.4	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.8%		60.9%	59.5%	1.4%	12.3				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.7		3.3%
15-1	5.1%		49.2%	49.0%	0.1%	13.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	2.6		0.2%
14-2	8.4%		37.1%	37.0%	0.0%	14.3												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.3	5.3		0.0%
13-3	11.1%		29.4%	29.3%	0.0%	14.8													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.4	0.8	7.8		0.0%
12-4	12.5%		20.2%	20.2%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.4	1.0	1.2	10.0
11-5	12.8%		13.4%	13.4%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	11.1
10-6	11.7%		8.7%	8.7%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.8	10.7
9-7	10.6%		7.0%	7.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.7	9.8
8-8	8.6%		3.3%	3.3%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	8.3
7-9	6.3%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.2
6-10	4.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	4.6
5-11	3.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
4-12	1.9%																							1.9
3-13	0.9%																							0.9
2-14	0.5%																							0.5
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		16.4%	16.4%	0.0%	14.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	1.9	3.5	4.8	5.3	83.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	5.6			22.4	14.0	29.4	9.8	10.5			4.2		9.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	68.2%	9.5							31.8		4.5			31.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	65.0%	9.9									35.0		30.0