Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.1#344
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.5#68
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#345
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 7.7% 14.1% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 11.5% 17.8% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.9% 15.3% 28.8%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IUPUI (Neutral) - 44.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 47 - 118 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2021 333   IUPUI L 79-81 44%    
  Nov 16, 2021 207   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-88 10%    
  Nov 17, 2021 342   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-76 50%    
  Nov 21, 2021 348   Houston Baptist W 86-81 67%    
  Nov 24, 2021 306   @ Air Force L 66-74 25%    
  Nov 27, 2021 209   @ Utah Valley L 71-85 12%    
  Dec 02, 2021 156   @ Wyoming L 70-87 8%    
  Dec 05, 2021 174   @ Texas St. L 59-75 9%    
  Dec 09, 2021 240   @ New Mexico L 68-80 17%    
  Dec 11, 2021 303   @ Dixie St. L 77-85 25%    
  Dec 15, 2021 263   UC San Diego L 75-80 36%    
  Dec 20, 2021 274   Western Illinois L 80-84 37%    
  Dec 22, 2021 353   St. Thomas W 80-71 77%    
  Dec 30, 2021 154   @ Oral Roberts L 74-91 9%    
  Jan 01, 2022 233   @ UMKC L 62-74 16%    
  Jan 06, 2022 130   North Dakota St. L 65-78 16%    
  Jan 08, 2022 313   North Dakota L 75-77 45%    
  Jan 13, 2022 186   @ South Dakota L 71-86 11%    
  Jan 15, 2022 99   @ South Dakota St. L 71-93 4%    
  Jan 22, 2022 326   Nebraska Omaha L 79-80 50%    
  Jan 27, 2022 233   UMKC L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 29, 2022 154   Oral Roberts L 77-88 20%    
  Feb 03, 2022 313   @ North Dakota L 72-80 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 130   @ North Dakota St. L 62-81 7%    
  Feb 10, 2022 99   South Dakota St. L 74-90 11%    
  Feb 12, 2022 186   South Dakota L 74-83 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 326   @ Nebraska Omaha L 76-82 32%    
  Feb 24, 2022 353   @ St. Thomas W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 26, 2022 274   @ Western Illinois L 77-87 22%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.1 3.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.4 2.8 5.4 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 15.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.9 7.6 4.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 21.2 8th
9th 1.1 6.0 9.7 7.5 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 27.8 9th
10th 2.2 5.3 4.5 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 14.7 10th
Total 2.2 6.4 10.5 13.6 14.4 13.4 11.6 9.5 6.9 4.7 2.9 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 58.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 11.1% 11.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 13.0% 13.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 11.9% 11.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 6.5% 6.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.0% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.9
10-8 2.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 2.9
9-9 4.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
8-10 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.8
7-11 9.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.5
6-12 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-14 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.4
3-15 13.6% 13.6
2-16 10.5% 10.5
1-17 6.4% 6.4
0-18 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%