Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#330
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#132
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#323
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 4.5% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 8.3% 42.1% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 21.2% 57.1% 20.7%
Conference Champion 0.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.6% 5.1% 20.9%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.5% 3.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 47 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 58   @ Northwestern L 61-84 2%    
  Nov 12, 2021 79   @ Saint Louis L 62-83 3%    
  Nov 15, 2021 279   Central Michigan L 78-80 44%    
  Nov 22, 2021 180   @ Eastern Kentucky L 75-88 12%    
  Nov 24, 2021 244   Albany L 70-76 30%    
  Nov 28, 2021 198   Evansville L 64-70 30%    
  Dec 01, 2021 314   @ Northern Illinois L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 07, 2021 84   @ Missouri L 62-83 5%    
  Dec 11, 2021 64   @ Butler L 57-80 3%    
  Dec 18, 2021 274   @ Western Illinois L 75-83 26%    
  Dec 21, 2021 199   @ Ball St. L 69-81 17%    
  Dec 29, 2021 158   @ Morehead St. L 63-77 12%    
  Jan 01, 2022 81   Belmont L 70-85 12%    
  Jan 06, 2022 125   Murray St. L 65-76 19%    
  Jan 08, 2022 301   @ Tennessee Tech L 72-78 31%    
  Jan 13, 2022 328   SIU Edwardsville W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 285   @ Austin Peay L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 20, 2022 125   @ Murray St. L 62-79 9%    
  Jan 22, 2022 268   Southeast Missouri St. L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 27, 2022 349   @ Tennessee Martin W 75-73 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 289   Tennessee St. L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 03, 2022 328   @ SIU Edwardsville L 70-74 39%    
  Feb 05, 2022 268   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-78 26%    
  Feb 10, 2022 301   Tennessee Tech L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 12, 2022 349   Tennessee Martin W 78-70 73%    
  Feb 17, 2022 81   @ Belmont L 67-88 5%    
  Feb 19, 2022 289   @ Tennessee St. L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 24, 2022 158   Morehead St. L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 26, 2022 285   Austin Peay L 72-73 46%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.5 4.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.7 4.7 1.6 0.1 0.0 14.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.4 6.6 4.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 17.3 8th
9th 0.3 2.5 5.6 6.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 17.9 9th
10th 1.4 3.7 4.5 3.0 1.1 0.1 13.8 10th
Total 1.4 4.0 7.0 9.5 11.8 12.4 12.0 11.0 9.6 7.2 5.4 3.6 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 86.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 55.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 16.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 42.6% 42.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 24.2% 24.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 15.1% 15.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 12.6% 12.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.4% 7.2% 7.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3
12-6 2.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3
11-7 3.6% 2.6% 2.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.5
10-8 5.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.4
9-9 7.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
8-10 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.6
7-11 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-13 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.4
4-14 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
3-15 9.5% 9.5
2-16 7.0% 7.0
1-17 4.0% 4.0
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%