Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#275
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.0#349
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#121
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 14.7
.500 or above 18.7% 24.5% 5.6%
.500 or above in Conference 11.0% 14.0% 4.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.0% 28.6% 49.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 69.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 32 - 73 - 15
Quad 48 - 511 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 315   Columbia W 64-58 69%    
  Nov 12, 2021 278   @ Manhattan L 57-60 40%    
  Nov 15, 2021 353   St. Thomas W 71-55 92%    
  Nov 19, 2021 356   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-50 94%    
  Nov 22, 2021 128   Akron L 58-67 22%    
  Nov 28, 2021 346   @ Central Connecticut St. W 68-63 66%    
  Dec 01, 2021 320   St. Francis Brooklyn W 70-64 70%    
  Dec 05, 2021 52   @ St. John's L 58-77 6%    
  Dec 09, 2021 254   LIU Brooklyn W 67-65 57%    
  Dec 12, 2021 85   Miami (FL) L 56-69 15%    
  Dec 22, 2021 245   Georgia Southern W 61-59 55%    
  Dec 30, 2021 210   @ La Salle L 59-66 29%    
  Jan 02, 2022 119   Massachusetts L 62-69 30%    
  Jan 05, 2022 28   @ St. Bonaventure L 48-69 4%    
  Jan 08, 2022 57   Richmond L 57-69 16%    
  Jan 12, 2022 162   Duquesne L 60-63 39%    
  Jan 15, 2022 79   @ Saint Louis L 54-70 10%    
  Jan 19, 2022 87   @ Dayton L 52-67 11%    
  Jan 22, 2022 98   Davidson L 55-63 25%    
  Jan 30, 2022 238   @ George Washington L 60-65 35%    
  Feb 02, 2022 101   Rhode Island L 59-67 25%    
  Feb 05, 2022 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 12, 2022 162   @ Duquesne L 57-66 23%    
  Feb 15, 2022 77   Virginia Commonwealth L 57-67 21%    
  Feb 20, 2022 169   George Mason L 60-63 40%    
  Feb 23, 2022 210   La Salle L 62-63 48%    
  Feb 26, 2022 98   @ Davidson L 52-66 13%    
  Mar 02, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 59-72 16%    
  Mar 05, 2022 238   George Washington W 63-62 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.4 1.0 0.1 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 4.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 0.3 2.5 5.9 4.5 1.1 0.0 14.3 12th
13th 0.7 4.3 7.5 4.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 18.7 13th
14th 4.3 8.1 7.7 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 24.5 14th
Total 4.3 8.8 12.2 13.8 13.5 12.2 10.4 7.9 5.9 4.2 2.9 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 79.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 18.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 30.8% 15.4% 15.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.2%
16-2 0.0% 37.2% 16.3% 20.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0%
15-3 0.1% 17.3% 11.9% 5.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.1%
14-4 0.3% 12.3% 10.7% 1.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8%
13-5 0.5% 5.1% 4.6% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5%
12-6 1.1% 2.4% 2.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 2.9% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
9-9 4.2% 0.4% 0.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
8-10 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.9
7-11 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 7.9
6-12 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.4
5-13 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.4
3-15 13.8% 13.8
2-16 12.2% 12.2
1-17 8.8% 8.8
0-18 4.3% 4.3
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%