IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#299
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.5	#273
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#295

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#282

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.3%	12.4%	4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.6	15.4

.500 or above	28.0%	67.4%	26.6%
.500 or above in Conference	48.3%	77.8%	47.2%
Conference Champion	5.3%	16.3%	4.9%
Last Place in Conference	10.4%	1.3%	10.7%

First Four	1.5%	1.1%	1.5%
First Round	3.5%	11.9%	3.2%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 3.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 8	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	58	@ Northwestern	L	59-79	4%
Nov 16, 2021	45	@ Notre Dame	L	60-81	3%
Nov 20, 2021	332	Howard	W	80-73	72%
Nov 30, 2021	109	Furman	L	65-74	22%
Dec 04, 2021	217	@ Elon	L	63-71	26%
Dec 10, 2021	352	South Carolina St.	W	79-68	82%
Dec 18, 2021	266	UNC Wilmington	W	73-72	54%
Dec 21, 2021	159	Florida Atlantic	L	66-71	34%
Dec 29, 2021	24	@ Michigan St.	L	57-81	3%
Dec 31, 2021	14	@ Kentucky	L	58-83	2%
Jan 05, 2022	143	Winthrop	L	72-78	31%
Jan 08, 2022	249	@ Longwood	L	62-68	33%
Jan 12, 2022	343	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	71-68	58%
Jan 15, 2022	286	N.C. A&T	W	73-71	57%
Jan 19, 2022	335	@ Charleston Southern	W	71-70	53%
Jan 22, 2022	329	@ Hampton	W	73-72	50%
Jan 26, 2022	264	Radford	W	65-64	53%
Jan 29, 2022	200	@ Campbell	L	61-70	25%
Feb 02, 2022	225	Gardner-Webb	L	68-69	47%
Feb 05, 2022	252	UNC Asheville	W	72-71	52%
Feb 09, 2022	319	@ Presbyterian	L	66-67	45%
Feb 12, 2022	200	Campbell	L	64-67	42%
Feb 16, 2022	249	Longwood	W	66-65	51%
Feb 19, 2022	264	@ Radford	L	62-67	35%
Feb 23, 2022	286	@ N.C. A&T	L	70-74	39%
Feb 26, 2022	329	Hampton	W	76-70	69%
Projected Record						10 - 16	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.6	1.5	0.7	0.2		5.3	1st
2nd										0.0	0.5	1.9	2.6	1.5	0.4	0.0			6.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.6	2.5	3.4	1.5	0.2	0.0				8.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.5	2.8	3.8	1.4	0.1	0.0					8.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.9	4.4	1.6	0.1							9.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.4	5.0	2.1	0.2	0.0							9.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.9	4.8	2.5	0.2	0.0								9.6	7th
8th					0.1	1.5	4.7	3.0	0.4	0.0									9.7	8th
9th				0.1	1.3	4.3	3.4	0.5	0.0										9.6	9th
10th			0.1	1.3	3.7	3.1	0.6	0.0											8.8	10th
11th		0.3	1.6	3.0	2.4	0.7	0.0												7.9	11th
12th	0.6	1.7	2.2	1.3	0.3	0.0													6.1	12th

Total	0.6	2.0	3.9	5.7	7.9	9.6	10.8	11.2	11.2	10.2	8.6	7.0	5.1	3.3	1.9	0.8	0.2			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	96.9%	0.7		0.7	0.1
14-2	80.2%	1.5		1.0	0.5	0.0	0.0
13-3	48.8%	1.6		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-4	18.6%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-5	3.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	5.3%	5.3		2.9	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		54.6%	53.7%	1.0%	13.4						0.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		2.1%
15-1	0.8%		33.2%	33.2%		13.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
14-2	1.9%		27.8%	27.8%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	1.4
13-3	3.3%		18.7%	18.7%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	2.7
12-4	5.1%		13.3%	13.3%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	4.5
11-5	7.0%		9.0%	9.0%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.5	6.4
10-6	8.6%		6.8%	6.8%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	8.0
9-7	10.2%		4.0%	4.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.4	9.8
8-8	11.2%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																0.0	0.2	11.0
7-9	11.2%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
6-10	10.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
5-11	9.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
4-12	7.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
3-13	5.7%																							5.7
2-14	3.9%																							3.9
1-15	2.0%																							2.0
0-16	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		4.3%	4.3%	0.0%	15.3						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.4	95.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%