Preseason Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#271
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.9#8
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#265
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.3% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 16.7% 23.0% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 30.9% 38.4% 17.7%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 18.3% 13.0% 27.8%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round2.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Away) - 63.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 73 - 14
Quad 47 - 510 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 341   @ Idaho W 78-74 64%    
  Nov 15, 2021 3   @ UCLA L 60-86 1%    
  Nov 17, 2021 209   Utah Valley L 79-80 47%    
  Nov 22, 2021 96   Missouri St. L 73-85 16%    
  Nov 30, 2021 42   @ San Diego St. L 63-83 5%    
  Dec 04, 2021 82   Loyola Marymount L 71-81 21%    
  Dec 12, 2021 20   @ USC L 64-87 3%    
  Dec 20, 2021 170   @ San Diego L 75-84 23%    
  Dec 30, 2021 305   @ Cal Poly L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 01, 2022 203   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 68-75 29%    
  Jan 04, 2022 231   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 81-86 34%    
  Jan 08, 2022 202   Hawaii L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 13, 2022 97   UC Santa Barbara L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 15, 2022 296   Cal St. Northridge W 84-80 64%    
  Jan 20, 2022 263   @ UC San Diego L 79-82 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 111   UC Irvine L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 27, 2022 148   @ UC Riverside L 69-79 20%    
  Jan 29, 2022 208   @ UC Davis L 75-82 29%    
  Feb 03, 2022 203   Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 05, 2022 305   Cal Poly W 78-73 65%    
  Feb 08, 2022 231   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-83 52%    
  Feb 11, 2022 202   @ Hawaii L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 17, 2022 296   @ Cal St. Northridge L 81-83 45%    
  Feb 19, 2022 97   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-82 13%    
  Feb 24, 2022 263   UC San Diego W 82-79 58%    
  Feb 26, 2022 111   @ UC Irvine L 69-82 15%    
  Mar 03, 2022 208   UC Davis L 78-79 47%    
  Mar 05, 2022 148   UC Riverside L 72-76 36%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.3 3.4 1.0 0.1 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.8 3.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 3.8 4.6 2.6 0.6 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.3 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 13.7 10th
11th 0.8 2.1 3.4 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.7 11th
Total 0.8 2.2 4.1 6.2 7.8 9.2 9.8 10.3 9.7 9.1 8.0 6.8 5.2 3.9 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 91.1% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 80.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 45.1% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 21.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 46.4% 46.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 39.5% 32.5% 7.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.5%
18-2 0.3% 33.7% 29.2% 4.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.3%
17-3 0.6% 28.2% 27.1% 1.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6%
16-4 1.2% 20.4% 20.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.0%
15-5 1.9% 16.9% 16.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
14-6 3.0% 12.0% 12.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.6
13-7 3.9% 7.2% 7.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.6
12-8 5.2% 4.9% 4.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.9
11-9 6.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.5
10-10 8.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.9
9-11 9.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.9
8-12 9.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.6
7-13 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-14 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
5-15 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-16 7.8% 7.8
3-17 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-18 4.1% 4.1
1-19 2.2% 2.2
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%