Preseason Rankings
Missouri
Southeastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#84
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.6#161
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#97
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#69
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 3.4% 3.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 7.2% 7.7% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.3% 23.6% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.7% 21.9% 3.3%
Average Seed 7.8 7.8 9.2
.500 or above 44.2% 46.4% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 34.3% 35.8% 11.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 12.9% 31.4%
First Four2.9% 3.1% 0.7%
First Round20.8% 22.0% 3.0%
Second Round11.0% 11.6% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen4.1% 4.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight1.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Final Four0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Home) - 93.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 46 - 14
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 44 - 014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 279   Central Michigan W 86-70 94%    
  Nov 15, 2021 233   UMKC W 71-57 88%    
  Nov 18, 2021 314   Northern Illinois W 77-59 94%    
  Nov 21, 2021 62   SMU L 73-75 43%    
  Nov 26, 2021 54   Wichita St. W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 02, 2021 110   @ Liberty L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 07, 2021 330   Eastern Illinois W 83-62 95%    
  Dec 11, 2021 4   @ Kansas L 66-79 13%    
  Dec 18, 2021 88   Utah W 73-69 62%    
  Dec 22, 2021 8   Illinois L 70-79 23%    
  Dec 29, 2021 14   @ Kentucky L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 05, 2022 56   Mississippi St. W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 08, 2022 15   Alabama L 76-81 34%    
  Jan 12, 2022 17   @ Arkansas L 71-81 21%    
  Jan 15, 2022 94   Texas A&M W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 18, 2022 66   @ Mississippi L 64-69 35%    
  Jan 22, 2022 15   @ Alabama L 73-84 19%    
  Jan 25, 2022 26   Auburn L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 127   @ Iowa St. W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 02, 2022 33   Florida L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 05, 2022 94   @ Texas A&M L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 08, 2022 92   @ Vanderbilt L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 12, 2022 66   Mississippi W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 15, 2022 17   Arkansas L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 19, 2022 56   @ Mississippi St. L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 22, 2022 23   Tennessee L 68-72 39%    
  Feb 26, 2022 36   @ LSU L 73-81 26%    
  Mar 01, 2022 104   @ South Carolina L 77-78 46%    
  Mar 05, 2022 133   Georgia W 81-74 71%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.1 0.9 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 3.4 1.5 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.9 3.7 0.8 0.0 9.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.1 1.5 0.2 10.6 12th
13th 0.3 1.6 3.6 3.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.5 13th
14th 0.8 2.1 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.1 8.7 14th
Total 0.8 2.4 4.6 6.8 8.7 10.2 10.8 10.9 10.4 8.7 7.9 6.3 4.6 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 88.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 64.9% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 31.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 57.8% 42.2% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 36.1% 63.9% 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 28.1% 71.9% 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.0% 99.6% 20.9% 78.7% 3.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
14-4 2.0% 98.4% 16.3% 82.2% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
13-5 3.0% 96.2% 10.9% 85.2% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.7%
12-6 4.6% 87.0% 7.7% 79.3% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 85.9%
11-7 6.3% 72.5% 3.5% 69.0% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 71.5%
10-8 7.9% 49.5% 2.1% 47.4% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 4.0 48.4%
9-9 8.7% 25.0% 1.0% 24.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 6.5 24.3%
8-10 10.4% 8.1% 0.5% 7.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.5 7.7%
7-11 10.9% 1.6% 0.4% 1.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 1.3%
6-12 10.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.2%
5-13 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 10.2
4-14 8.7% 8.7
3-15 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.8
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 22.3% 2.0% 20.3% 7.8 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 77.7 20.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 81.8 18.2
Lose Out 0.0%