IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oral Roberts
Summit League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.7	#154
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.5	#53
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.3	#82

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#254

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	1.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.4%	29.7%	14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.9	12.8	14.3

.500 or above	75.5%	95.1%	72.5%
.500 or above in Conference	87.3%	96.7%	85.9%
Conference Champion	19.3%	35.4%	16.8%
Last Place in Conference	0.3%	0.0%	0.4%

First Four	1.3%	1.1%	1.4%
First Round	15.8%	29.2%	13.8%
Second Round	2.1%	6.2%	1.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	2.1%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 13.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 4	4 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 3	17 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	51	@ Colorado St.	L	74-86	13%
Nov 20, 2021	334	@ Central Arkansas	W	88-79	79%
Nov 26, 2021	35	Oklahoma St.	L	78-86	24%
Nov 29, 2021	108	Tulsa	L	73-74	47%
Dec 02, 2021	80	@ TCU	L	72-81	22%
Dec 04, 2021	348	@ Houston Baptist	W	93-80	86%
Dec 11, 2021	96	@ Missouri St.	L	75-83	25%
Dec 16, 2021	224	Texas Arlington	W	82-75	72%
Dec 20, 2021	186	@ South Dakota	L	81-82	45%
Dec 22, 2021	99	@ South Dakota St.	L	81-89	27%
Dec 30, 2021	344	Denver	W	91-74	91%
Jan 01, 2022	326	Nebraska Omaha	W	89-75	86%
Jan 06, 2022	353	@ St. Thomas	W	87-70	91%
Jan 08, 2022	274	@ Western Illinois	W	86-82	61%
Jan 15, 2022	233	@ UMKC	W	71-69	55%
Jan 20, 2022	313	North Dakota	W	84-72	83%
Jan 22, 2022	130	North Dakota St.	W	75-74	54%
Jan 27, 2022	326	@ Nebraska Omaha	W	86-78	73%
Jan 29, 2022	344	@ Denver	W	88-77	80%
Feb 03, 2022	274	Western Illinois	W	89-79	78%
Feb 05, 2022	353	St. Thomas	W	90-67	96%
Feb 12, 2022	233	UMKC	W	74-66	72%
Feb 17, 2022	130	@ North Dakota St.	L	72-77	35%
Feb 19, 2022	313	@ North Dakota	W	81-75	69%
Feb 24, 2022	99	South Dakota St.	L	84-86	45%
Feb 26, 2022	186	South Dakota	W	84-79	64%
Projected Record						16 - 10	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.6	2.4	5.0	5.9	3.8	1.4		19.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.8	5.2	7.3	4.7	1.2				20.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	3.1	6.5	6.3	2.4	0.2					19.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.0	3.7	6.2	3.8	0.8	0.0						15.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.2	3.6	4.3	1.8	0.3	0.0							11.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	1.2	2.7	2.2	0.7	0.1									7.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.0	1.6	1.1	0.2	0.0										4.3	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.1												2.1	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0													0.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.2	10th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.1	2.1	3.4	5.1	7.1	9.3	11.3	12.3	12.9	12.1	10.0	7.1	3.8	1.4			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.4		1.4
17-1	100.0%	3.8		3.5	0.3
16-2	83.7%	5.9		4.2	1.7	0.0
15-3	50.5%	5.0		2.4	2.2	0.4
14-4	20.0%	2.4		0.7	1.2	0.5	0.0
13-5	4.5%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.3%	19.3		12.4	5.6	1.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.4%		68.6%	62.3%	6.3%	10.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.4		16.6%
17-1	3.8%		52.5%	50.3%	2.2%	12.7					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	1.8		4.5%
16-2	7.1%		42.4%	41.8%	0.6%	13.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	0.9	0.4	0.0	4.1		1.0%
15-3	10.0%		31.3%	31.2%	0.1%	13.9												0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.1	6.9		0.1%
14-4	12.1%		22.2%	22.2%		14.4												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.3	9.4
13-5	12.9%		15.5%	15.5%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.6	10.9
12-6	12.3%		9.4%	9.4%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	11.2
11-7	11.3%		6.3%	6.3%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	10.6
10-8	9.3%		4.5%	4.5%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	8.9
9-9	7.1%		2.6%	2.6%		15.9																0.0	0.2	6.9
8-10	5.1%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	5.0
7-11	3.4%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	3.3
6-12	2.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
5-13	1.1%																							1.1
4-14	0.5%																							0.5
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		16.4%	16.2%	0.2%	13.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	1.6	3.4	4.0	3.9	2.7	83.6		0.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	4.8	3.3	6.7	13.3	25.2	22.9	15.7	6.2		3.8			2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	89.7%	5.8			10.3	10.3	29.4	10.3	10.3	10.3		8.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	8.2					30.0		35.0					35.0