Preseason Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#137
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.0#263
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#158
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#131
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.7% 3.9% 0.3%
Average Seed 10.1 10.0 11.5
.500 or above 53.5% 65.1% 31.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 45.0% 23.5%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 6.6% 16.0%
First Four1.0% 1.5% 0.2%
First Round3.4% 4.8% 0.7%
Second Round1.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Neutral) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 21 - 32 - 8
Quad 35 - 47 - 13
Quad 48 - 215 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 201   Northern Colorado W 72-68 65%    
  Nov 14, 2021 202   @ Hawaii W 68-67 54%    
  Nov 19, 2021 163   UTEP W 70-65 67%    
  Nov 22, 2021 357   Chicago St. W 85-58 99%    
  Nov 26, 2021 355   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-54 98%    
  Dec 01, 2021 208   @ UC Davis W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 04, 2021 231   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 77-74 60%    
  Dec 11, 2021 322   @ San Jose St. W 80-71 76%    
  Dec 14, 2021 97   UC Santa Barbara L 68-69 49%    
  Dec 17, 2021 130   North Dakota St. W 68-65 58%    
  Dec 19, 2021 208   UC Davis W 74-67 72%    
  Dec 22, 2021 113   @ California L 63-68 35%    
  Dec 30, 2021 124   Santa Clara W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 01, 2022 147   Pepperdine W 76-72 61%    
  Jan 06, 2022 38   @ BYU L 65-77 17%    
  Jan 08, 2022 82   Loyola Marymount L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 13, 2022 124   @ Santa Clara L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 15, 2022 49   @ St. Mary's L 58-69 20%    
  Jan 20, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 71-87 10%    
  Jan 22, 2022 170   San Diego W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 27, 2022 307   @ Portland W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 29, 2022 38   BYU L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 05, 2022 147   @ Pepperdine L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 10, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 68-90 4%    
  Feb 12, 2022 170   @ San Diego L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 17, 2022 67   San Francisco L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 24, 2022 307   Portland W 81-68 85%    
  Feb 26, 2022 82   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-72 28%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.2 2.5 0.7 0.1 8.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 4.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.3 3.1 5.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.8 3.1 0.3 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.5 6.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 15.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.9 6.0 2.2 0.2 14.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 4.8 4.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.5 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.8 10th
Total 0.5 1.9 4.2 7.2 10.0 12.3 13.1 13.2 11.7 9.4 7.1 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 69.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 33.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 8.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 65.0% 35.0% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.1% 91.5% 35.7% 55.8% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.7%
14-2 0.5% 83.4% 18.9% 64.4% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 79.5%
13-3 1.3% 64.4% 12.6% 51.7% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 59.2%
12-4 2.6% 34.8% 8.5% 26.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.7 28.8%
11-5 4.6% 15.3% 4.7% 10.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.9 11.0%
10-6 7.1% 6.0% 2.2% 3.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.7 3.9%
9-7 9.4% 2.5% 1.6% 0.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.2 0.9%
8-8 11.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6 0.3%
7-9 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2
6-10 13.1% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
5-11 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 12.3
4-12 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-13 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.2
2-14 4.2% 4.2
1-15 1.9% 1.9
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.9% 1.2% 2.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.1 2.7%